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BusinessIntelligence Middle East November 25, 2009 Marc Faber, the Swiss fund manager and Gloom Boom & Doom editor, said eventually there will be a big bust and then the whole credit expansion will come to an end. Before that happens, governments will continue printing money which in time will lead to a very high inflation rate, and the economy will not respond to continued stimulus. Speaking at a conference in Singapore on Wednesday, Faber said: “The crisis has not solved anything. On the contrary there is less transparency today than there was before. The government’s balance sheet is expanding, and the abuses that have led to the one cause of the crisis have continued”. “I think eventually there will be a big bust and then the whole credit expansion will come to an end,” Faber added. “Before that happens, governments will continue printing money which in time will lead to a very high inflation rate, and the economy will not respond to stimulus”. In one of his Gloomiest predictions, Faber, referred to as Dr Doom, said “the average family will be hurt by that, and then in order to distract the attention of the people, the governments will go to war”. “People ask me against whom? Well, they will invent an enemy,” Faber said. Via Infowars.com >>>> Read Entire Article>>>
In an interview with MoneyControl Marc Faber explained in details what he thinks about the gold prices and where he sees them heading after the controversy that was raised few days ago when some thought that he was contradicting himself when in a 2 days distance he declared that gold prices may go bellow $800 and that Gold will never go bellow $100/oz today he explains himself more in details... Marc FAber"I am not so sure there's a huge dollar carry trade. What happens is that worldwide because interest rates are at zero percent institutions as well as individuals borrow money and they go and speculate. The dollar carry trade is frequently misunderstood in the sense that there are big short positions in the dollars. But one shouldn't over estimate the short positions in dollars because the world is basically awash in the dollars."
There are too many dollars floating around from the American current account deficit that reached USD 800 billion annually and total international reserves in the hands of central banks now are USD 7.7 trillion. That is the dollar overhang and to some extent some people want to hedge their dollar exposure and then they sell dollars and buy foreign currencies and of course also precious metals including gold, silver, platinum, palladium.
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Nov. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Marc Faber, investor and publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, talks with Bloomberg's Susan Li about the outlook for gold prices and his investment strategy. Faber, speaking in Singapore, also discusses Asian banks and rates the success of U.S. President Barack Obama's trip to China.
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In an Interview with Business Intelligence Middle East Marc Faber said that he has short term concerns about commodities,and that gold may drop to US$800 : Faber also said that he is more negative about US bonds under a further deterioration of the economy than under a recovery, adding that 'inevitable' further economic weakness 'will lead to further fiscal stimulus packages and necessitate further money printing'. "I would regard a failure to hold above the “upside breakout points” in the period directly ahead with great caution. In the case of gold a decline below US$1,000 would likely lead to further more meaningful weakness, possibly down to between US$800 and US$900,"Faber added. Read Article>>>
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Speaking at a conference in London this week, Marc Faber said:
“We will not see less than the $1,000 level again. Central banks are all the same. They are printers. Gold maybe cheaper today than in 2001, given the interest rates. You have to own physical gold.”
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Nov. 11 (Bloomberg) -- Gold won’t fall below $1,000 an ounce again after rising 27 percent this year to a record as central banks print money to help fund budget deficits, said Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report. Read Article >>>>
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"I should also mention some concerns (for now of short-term nature) I have about commodity prices including gold. A large number of commodities including oil, the CRB Index, and gold broke out on the upside in early October," Marc Faber said.
"I would regard a failure to hold above the “upside breakout points” in the period directly ahead with great caution. In the case of gold a decline below US$1,000 would likely lead to further more meaningful weakness, possibly down to between US$800 and US$900," Faber added. Read Article>>>>
Marc Faber Dr Doom :"Since we had in 2008 the third best annual return (41%) in the last 35 years and since each time high returns were followed by negative returns I would be — regardless of the economic outlook — very reluctant to invest in long term government and also in corporate bonds. In fact, on a further deterioration in economic activity and amidst severe deflationary pressures (as postulated by the deflationists) I would be even more negative about US government bonds than under an economic recovery scenario. Why? Because further economic weakness (inevitable in my opinion) will lead to further fiscal stimulus packages and necessitate further money printing."
"I should also mention some concerns (for now of short-term nature) I have about commodity prices including gold. A large number of commodities including oil, the CRB Index, and gold broke out on the upside in early October. I would regard a failure to hold above the “upside breakout points” in the period directly ahead with great caution. In the case of gold a decline below $1000 would likely lead to further more meaningful weakness (possibly down to between $800 and $900)." Read More >>>>
“I believe next year’s economy will face even larger deficits. Their deficit is attempting to stimulate credit growth. Unless real credit growth returns, they will have to put more and more money into the system to maintain the status quo. All polices target consumption. That is a mistake,” Faber says. "In the period, 2001 -2007, the Fed managed to do something that had never before been done - create a worldwide bubble in just about everything. Stocks, bonds, art, oil, housing - you name it; it went up. The only thing that didn't go up was the dollar," Faber said. "Bubbles had been localized in the past," Faber explained. "A bubble in one area drew investment from another area. In one market, prices soared. In another they slumped. Overall, things didn't change much." Read Article>>>
Marc Faber the Swiss fund manager and Gloom Boom & Doom editor said he has some short-term concerns about commodity prices including gold. He is also reluctant to invest in bonds. Read Article >>>>
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(Bloomberg) -- Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom Boom & Doom Report, and Jim Rogers, chairman of Singapore-based Rogers Holdings, talk about the outlook for the U.S. dollar. This report also includes comments from Calyon's Mitul Kotecha, Delta Global Advisors' Michael Pento, U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, Pacific Investment Management Co.'s Richard Clarida and Morgan Stanley Asia's Stephen Roach.
Thai stocks slumped 4.69 percent Thursday amid concerns over King Bhumibol Adulyadej's health, and despite assurances from the palace that the 81-year-old's condition was "good".
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Dr Marc Faber, editor of the Gloom Boom Doom Report on Frisby's Bulls and Bears. He says The two worst investments are bonds and cash. I would accumulate equities on weakness.
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"Some pundits will argue that precious metals are expensive, but this isn’t my view. Why would anyone not own some gold, rather than US dollars, when interest rates are near zero? Dollars can and will be printed en masse, whereas the supply of precious metals is extremely limited." Said Marc Faber
"…returning to the argument that gold is expensive, it would appear that it is actually still a bargain compared to the S&P 500. At present, gold sells at about the same level as the S&P 500, but if I am right about the size of future US fiscal deficits and about the Fed neglecting to protect the purchasing power of the US dollar, I could envision a time when gold will sell for at least two or three times the value of the S&P 500. Also, if an investor were convinced that equities will do better than gold, he should consider investing in a basket of gold and silver shares, which are relatively depressed compared to the price of gold." he added If gold, for example, were to escalate considerably in price (i.e. to $2,000, $3,000, or even more) in the next few years it would have a significantly positive impact on the profitability of the companies who mine it and the royalty companies that buy it from marginal producers. For example, with gold priced at $1,000/oz., and the cost of production at perhaps $600/oz. the gross profit margin of gold mining companies would be 40.0%. If 2 years from now, however, gold were to increase to $2,000 and the cost of production were to increase by only 20% to $720/oz. then the mining companies’ gross profit margins would have gone up from $400/oz. to $1280/oz. or 220%..."
Source CNBC : U.S. third-quarter GDP data was "horrible" and investors will soon realize that it wasn't as good as they initially thought, Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Doom and Boom Report, told CNBC.com.
CNBC.com
"I wouldn’t rely on the GDP figures and I think the market will actually realize that they were quite poor," Faber said.
The figures, which pleased investors by beating analysts' consensus expectations Thursday, didn't give positive signs for personal income and unemployment, Faber pointed out.
U.S. gross domestic product grew at 3.5 percent on an annualized basis, showing that the economy was, at least unofficially, out of its longest recession since the great depression. But Faber told CNBC.com that the figures were not always reliable. "I wouldn't rely on GDP figures, you can manipulate them," he said Read Article >>>>
Dr Marc Faber author of the Gloom Boom and Doom is an international investor well known for his contrarian investment approach. He is also associated with a variety of funds including the Iconoclastic International Fund, The Overlook Partners’ Fund, The Income Partners Global Strategy Fund, The India Capital Fund, Matterhorn Ventures, Winstar India Investment Company Limited, The China Mantou Fund, Sofaer Capital Inc, Peach Office Products, Ivanhoe Mines Limited, Equity Partners Limited and Muse Global Partners LP
“Some pundits will argue that precious metals are expensive, but this isn’t my view. Why would anyone not own some gold, rather than US dollars, when interest rates are near zero? Dollars can and will be printed en masse, whereas the supply of precious metals is extremely limited.”
Dr Marc Faber author of the Gloom Boom and Doom is an international investor well known for his contrarian investment approach. He is also associated with a variety of funds including the Iconoclastic International Fund, The Overlook Partners’ Fund, The Income Partners Global Strategy Fund, The India Capital Fund, Matterhorn Ventures, Winstar India Investment Company Limited, The China Mantou Fund, Sofaer Capital Inc, Peach Office Products, Ivanhoe Mines Limited, Equity Partners Limited and Muse Global Partners LP
Capitalism has been the engine driving America and the global economies for over two centuries. Faber predicts its collapse will trigger global "wars, massive government-debt defaults, and the impoverishment of large segments of Western society." Faber knows that capitalism is not working, capitalism has peaked, and the collapse of capitalism is "inevitable."
When? He hesitates: "But what I don't know is whether this final collapse, which is inevitable, will occur tomorrow, or in five or 10 years, and whether it will occur with the Dow at 100,000 and gold at $50,000 per ounce or even confiscated, or with the Dow at 3,000 and gold at $1,000." But the end is inevitable, a historical imperative Via marketwatch.com
Dr Marc Faber author of the Gloom Boom and Doom is an international investor well known for his contrarian investment approach. He is also associated with a variety of funds including the Iconoclastic International Fund, The Overlook Partners’ Fund, The Income Partners Global Strategy Fund, The India Capital Fund, Matterhorn Ventures, Winstar India Investment Company Limited, The China Mantou Fund, Sofaer Capital Inc, Peach Office Products, Ivanhoe Mines Limited, Equity Partners Limited and Muse Global Partners LP
Dr. Marc Faber, managing director of Marc Faber Ltd., in a video interview dated 10/29/09 at Barron's Art of Successful Investing Conference, comments on the dollar, global economy, and his advise to investors to increase holdings in emerging markets.
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The dollar will become worthless when people eventually realize the fiscal situation in the U.S. is a "disaster,"said Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report.
"It will go to a value of zero eventually, but not right now," Faber said today in an interview on Bloomberg Television. "Looking at Mr. Obama's administration, it should already be there. I think it will take about 10 years until people realize that the fiscal situation of the U.S. is a complete disaster." "In my opinion, about 50 percent of tax revenues will be used just to cover the interest payments on the government debt. That is unsustainable. Then you'll really be forced to print money."
The best investments right now are foreign currencies, commodities and equities, Faber said. Stocks will continue to benefit from the actions of Federal Reserve Chairman, "As soon as the S&P drops to 900 or 800, he will print money again. He's a money printer. He's nothing else."
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Cash as Risky as Commodities Equities and Real Estate Marc Faber on Bloomberg News 26 Oct 2009 .Analysis and discussion with Editor and Publisher of Gloom, Boom and Doom Report Marc Faber; To hold cash today is a risky as holding equities, commodities or real estate; Weak U.S. dollar is a symptom of inflation. (Bloomberg News >
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Topics: Jim Rogers, chairman of Rogers Holdings, talks with Bloomberg's Bernard Lo about the outlook for the U.S. dollar, Gold, Stocks and Treasuries. (Source: Bloomberg)
Dr. Marc Faber, Editor and Publisher of The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report joins us on the special edition of Financial Friday from the floor of the The International Cash Conference in Copenhagen. Oct 23, 2009
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The Obama administration's effort to reinflate the U.S. economy with government spending is destined to do more harm than good, Marc Faber author of the "Gloom, Boom and Doom Report" says...
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Dr Marc Faber was born in Zurich, Switzerland. He went to school in Geneva and Zurich and finished high school with the Matura. He studied Economics at the University of Zurich and, at the age of 24, obtained a PhD in Economics magna cum laude. Between 1970 and 1978, Dr Faber worked for White Weld & Company Limited in New York, Zurich and Hong Kong. Since 1973, he has lived in Hong Kong. From 1978 to February 1990, he was the Managing Director of Drexel Burnham Lambert (HK) Ltd. In June 1990, he set up his own business, which acts as an investment advisor and fund manager.
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