Saturday, July 31, 2010

Marc Faber on how do you trade the Dow at 1,000?

"Buy a self-sustainable farm in the middle of nowhere 'surrounded by high voltage fences and barbed wire and equipped with booby traps and an arsenal of machine guns, hand grenades and armed vehicles guarded by vicious Dobermans". That was Marc Faber suggestion for trading the DOW below 1,000...

Marc Faber : warns to avoid bonds , and to invest in gold, farmland and art

"When the turn comes and inflation and rates rise, all the money in bonds will move into equities."
"At some point people won't want to be compensated at two percent in bonds, and will put money into stocks. Government bonds will not be a good investment for the next 10 years."
in newsblogs.chicagotribune.com

Marc Faber : The market lows of March 2009 will not be revisited

"I'm a believer that the stock market lows of March 2009 will not be revisited. You have people like Robert Prechter who think the Dow will collapse to 700 because of debt deleveraging. Debt deleveraging could happen, but the Dow will not fall because of monetary policy. The Fed will keep everything inflated in nominal terms. And if the Dow does go to 700, you'll have more to worry about than your investments. All the banks will be bust. The government will be bust. You don't want cash if massive deflation happens. On the contrary: It will be worthless. You have to think very carefully about hardcore deflation."
in fool.com

Marc Faber David Rosenberg whiskey bet

Economist David Rosenberg and investor Marc Faber have wagered a bottle of scotch whiskey on whether U.S. 10-year Treasury yields can go lower than 2 percent:

“If I lose the bet, I buy him a bottle of Cutty Sark, and if I win, I want a bottle of Dalwhinnie”

in Bloomberg

Marc Faber agrees with Robert Prechter : a Dow Jones at 1,000 should not be excluded

Marc Faber Questions if Dow Could Hit 1,000 as predicted by Robert Prechter

"Prechter is right when says that when manias come to an end, prices tend to retreat to where the mania started. So from this point of view, a Dow Jones at 1,000 should not be excluded," ."It is likely that if the Dow where to fall by more than 20 percent from the present level there would be further massive fiscal and monetary stimulus packages – not just in the US but worldwide," Marc Faber wrote in the In the August edition of the ‘The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report’"The question here is really, with the Dow below 1,000, what kind of dollars – and especially what kind of dollar credits – will survive,"
via CNBC.com

Friday, July 30, 2010

John Williams of Shadow Government Statistics interview with Miningstiocktalk.com 29 July 2010



John Williams is author of “Shadow Government Statistics,” an electronic newsletter service that exposes and analyzes flaws in current U.S. government economic data and reporting, as well as in certain private-sector numbers, and provides an assessment of underlying economic and financial conditions, net of financial-market and political hype. john williams shadowstatscom Mining Stock Talk Interviews John Williams of ShadowStats.com ."John Williams’ Shadow Government Statistics" is an electronic newsletter service that exposes and analyzes flaws in current U.S. government economic data and reporting, as well as in certain private-sector numbers, and provides an assessment of underlying economic and financial conditions, net of financial-market and political hype.

In this powerful interview, John shares his research realities on unemployment, the staggering growth in the U.S. Monetary Base, a coming “hyperinflation” , gold, and what he’s doing to prepare and protect his family going forward.
Williams believes that the printing of trillions of dollars to fight the depression will lead to a "hyperinflationary depression".
John Williams aka Walter J. "John" Williams was born in 1949. He received an A.B. in Economics, cum laude, from Dartmouth College in 1971, and was awarded a M.B.A. from Dartmouth's Amos Tuck School of Business Administration in 1972, where he was named an Edward Tuck Scholar. During his career as a consulting economist, John has worked with individuals as well as Fortune 500 companies.

John Williams' Shadow Government Statistics is a monthly electronic newsletter that exposes and analyzes the flaws in current U.S. government data and reporting, as well as in certain private-sector numbers.. It also looks at the financial markets free of the hype so often put forth in the popular financial media. Generally published on the second Wednesday of the month, the newsletter is supplemented by Flash Updates and occasional Alerts that highlight unusual developments.
Williams is advising people to stock up on gold and booze to bargain with once the hyperinflation makes dollars worthless:

“Three or four years into the future I think we could be in a hyperinflation, within the current year you’re going to see much higher inflation than most people are looking at,” Williams told MarketWatch.

Williams said that his definition of hyperinflation would be a situation in which a $100 dollar bill would become more functional as a piece of toilet paper than a store of value.

“This is a time when you want to preserve your wealth and assets because inflation will knock the value out of it,” he added, advising that people buy physical gold and assets other than the U.S. dollar.

“Then when the hyperinflation hits you’ll see disruption of normal commerce, you won’t have enough $100 dollar bills to buy what you want,” said Williams, adding that items to barter with, such as a bottle of scotch, would be more valuable than actual cash, even in large quantities.

Thursday, July 29, 2010

David Rosenberg Investment Strategy : Gold and Corporate Bonds

Get Outta Cash and into Corporate Bonds

Investment advice from Wall Street Bear David Rosenberg , Rosenberg is still bullish after all this years on Gold....
"you can't be in cash" "Gold production peaked ten years ago , tell me when the production of Fiat Currency is gonna to peak ? " asks David Rosenberg " It's a no-brainer that the Gold is gonna go a lot higher "

Wednesday, July 28, 2010

Marc Faber : S&P 500 may see more bounce



Marc Faber, author and publisher of the Gloom Boom and Doom Report, says the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index might see a little bit of more bounce but will really stay rangebound. He also says deficits rising around the world will be a big problem.Marc Faber : Well Basically we got very over sold at the beginning of July and since then we rallied quite strongly , I think that we can rally some what more but if we look at the S&P the low was 1010 and the previous support was 1040 and the top at the end of April was 1219 so around 1170 there is a lot of resistance and it will be very difficult for the market to get through that resistance ....we have to distinguish between what central Banks and the governments in the western world say and what they will do , I am not a great believer in this austerity that they are proclaiming , I think the fiscal deficit will actually stay very high or even increase and I think that if they decrease the fiscal deficit then it will be offset by very expansionary monetary policy in other words monetisation , so the whole burden to support the economy will fall on the monetary policies then they'll print money like crazy and so I would not pay too much attention to what they say but to what the markets do and it seems to me that the people that predicted the DOW JONES 1000 or S&P 500 or S&P 200 I think they're misreading the facts that under fiat monetary system you can print endless quantity of money and so stocks may adjust in real terms but not necessarily in nominal terms to the extent that the super bears are predicting ...
Nouriel Roubini Gary Shilling David Rosenberg these are the true deflationists says doctor Marc Faber they advice to be in US government bonds and to basically avoid everything else ...adds Marc Faber : I do not think that the US Bonds are desirable investment for the next 5-10 years....Investments in US Bonds and cash may be a very risky strategy in the long run , Dr Faber rather sees inflation coming than deflation : I am not a great believer in deflation , all the prices around the world are going up says Dr Faber ...

“I am not a great believer in this austerity that they are proclaiming,” Faber said in a recent interview
“I think the fiscal deficit will actually stay very high or even increase," he said. "And I think that if they decrease the fiscal deficit then it will be offset by very expansionary monetary policy, in other words monetization, so the whole burden to support the economy will fall on monetary policies, then they’ll print money like crazy,” he said.“Under a fiat monetary system you can print endless quantities of money and so stocks may adjust in real terms but not necessarily in nominal terms to the extent that the super bears are predicting.”
Marc Faber, investment guru and editor and publisher “The Gloom, Boom & Doom” report, said that markets were in an oversold zone in early July and since then global markets have rallied strongly and could rally somewhat more.

Tuesday, July 27, 2010

Marc Faber : Emerging economies will go up while The West will have lower standard of living

Marc Faber "We've had a trend for most of the past 200 years: GDP of countries like China and India went down while the West surged. That's now changed. Emerging economies will go up, and your children in the West will have a lower standard of living than you did. Absolutely. We won't sink to the bottom of the sea. But other countries will grow much faster than us. The world is very competitive, and the odds are stacked against us. Americans, with their inborn arrogance, will not let it go that easily, so there will be lots of tension going forward."Marc Faber 's speech at Agora Financial Symposium
via zerohedge.com

Monday, July 26, 2010

Marc Faber on the Indian Market

Marc Faber : I do not think that the budget was particularly encouraging , I do not thing there are enough privatizations but in the other hand I do not think it's a huge disappointment , now what happened in India is we had a very powerful rally from the inter-day? low in November 2008 from less than 8000 to recently over 15000 ....and I think what we may see now is possibly a retracment of the gap we had between 12000 and 14000 when the election took place , so I won't be surprised to see the index go back to I don't know say the range of 12000 before the bull market resume but I do not think we will make new lows in the index ...etc...Marc Faber believes that the correction is only desirable and is desirable from a long term prospective , even if India does not grow at 9 percent and only grows at 5 or 6 percent it is not the end of the world says Marc Faber

Saturday, July 24, 2010

Hugh Hendry vs Nassim Taleb

Nassim Taleb and Hugh Hendry about their strategies for 2010

Friday, July 23, 2010

Marc Faber : Where to Invest in 2010 ? - the Russian Forum Feb 2010

Investments: Where is the Money in 2010 – What are the Risks?

Marc Faber asks how to invest $100,000 answers from Nassim Taleb, Hugh Hendry and others ...The video dates back in February 2010 , but it is still a great watch and very informative

CLICK HERE TO WATCH THE VIDEO DEBATE>>>>>

NASSIM TALEB : Mother Nature is the smartest risk manager of all

NASSIM TALEB: Yeah, it's strangely enough in South Africa that I learned about the idea of Mother Nature. It came to me when I went to Pilansberg five years ago, I think, five or four years ago and I just realised that the national systems are now stable, start looking into the workings of Mother Nature as the smartest risk manager of all. Something that has worked for billions of species, for billions of years has to have some stability. So I rewrote The Black Swan, then completed The Black Swan, added a hundred pages on robustness and fragility - what is fragile and what is robust.
in Moneyweb.com 20 July 2010

Mohamed El-Erian on Money magazine

"The typical U.S. investor tends to have about 80% of equities in the U.S. The world of tomorrow suggests a much greater exposure overseas. In general, you should consider holding a third of your equities in the U.S., a third in industrial countries outside the U.S., and a third in emerging markets." PIMCO co-CEO Mohamed El-Erian told Money magazine

Common Sense from Marc Faber

Dr. Marc Faber, the economist, investor and long-time member of the prestigious Barron’s Roundtable, offers up some good perspective on investing in his latest Monthly Market Commentary newsletter.
The title of the commentary is “One of the First Duties of the Investment Advisor is Educating the Masses not to Speculate,” and it’s worth grabbing out a few of his key points.
I feel that most investors take far too many risks – often with borrowed money – and fail to diversify sufficiently. They also have little patience, very short-term time horizons and no tolerance for losses. Finally, their expectations about investment returns are completely unrealistic… Most investors buy a stock or make an investment with the view that within a month the return should be between 10% and 20%.


Read more: http://www.advisoranalyst.com/glablog/2010/07/10/common-sense-from-marc-faber/

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Marc Faber: Inflation vs Deflation

“I think that we can rally some what more but if we look at the S&P the low was 1010 and the previous support was 1040 and the top at the end of April was 1219 so around 1170 there is a lot of resistance and it will be very difficult for the market to get through that resistance ….”

Nouriel Roubini Gary Shilling David Rosenberg these are the true deflationists says doctor Marc Faber they advice to be in US government bonds and to basically avoid everything else ...adds Marc Faber : I do not think that the US Bonds are desirable investment for the next 5-10 years....Investments in US Bonds and cash may be a very risky strategy in the long run , Dr Faber rather sees inflation coming than deflation : I am not a great believer in deflation , all the prices around the world are going up says Dr Faber ...

Wednesday, July 21, 2010

El-Erian: Financial regulation is coming to impact the flow of credit

CNBC July 20 2010 | Mohamed El-Erian, CEO and co-CIO at Pimco, shares his market insight with CNBC.com...The major issue is The mindset in Washington says Mohamed El-Erian
The market is giving a clear signal it is saying let's focus on top revenue it is not enough to focus on the bottom line because we want to see top line revenue growth because we want to see sustainable earnings ...and the companies are falling short , most of them are falling short of the top line revenue growth that was anticipated so the focus has shifted to what is sustainable and we are getting the impact of muted growth unemployment and deleveraging .......etc....

Marc Faber : Under a fiat monetary system you can print endless quantities of money

Marc Faber : I am convinced they will implement further quantitative easing and massively so , it will probably happen in September October ...The economy is not robust , we have mixed signals but in general the economy is still weak Marc Faber told Bloomberg early this week



Marc Faber : Well Basically we got very over sold at the beginning of July and since then we rallied quite strongly , I think that we can rally some what more but if we look at the S&P the low was 1010 and the previous support was 1040 and the top at the end of April was 1219 so around 1170 there is a lot of resistance and it will be very difficult for the market to get through that resistance ....
we have to distinguish between what central Banks and the governments in the western world say and what they will do , I am not a great believer in this austerity that they are proclaiming , I think the fiscal deficit will actually stay very high or even increase and I think that if they decrease the fiscal deficit then it will be offset by very expansionary monetary policy in other words monetisation , so the whole burden to support the economy will fall on the monetary policies then they'll print money like crazy and so I would not pay too much attention to what they say but to what the markets do and it seems to me that the people that predicted the DOW JONES 1000 or S&P 500 or S&P 200 I think they're misreading the facts that under fiat monetary system you can print endless quantity of money and so stocks may adjust in real terms but not necessarily in nominal terms to the extent that the super bears are predicting ...
Nouriel Roubini Gary Shilling David Rosenberg these are the true deflationists says doctor Marc Faber they advice to be in US government bonds and to basically avoid everything else ...adds Marc Faber : I do not think that the US Bonds are desirable investment for the next 5-10 years....Investments in US Bonds and cash may be a very risky strategy in the long run , Dr Faber rather sees inflation coming than deflation : I am not a great believer in deflation , all the prices around the world are going up says Dr Faber ...

“I am not a great believer in this austerity that they are proclaiming,” Faber said in a recent interview
“I think the fiscal deficit will actually stay very high or even increase," he said. "And I think that if they decrease the fiscal deficit then it will be offset by very expansionary monetary policy, in other words monetization, so the whole burden to support the economy will fall on monetary policies, then they’ll print money like crazy,” he said.“Under a fiat monetary system you can print endless quantities of money and so stocks may adjust in real terms but not necessarily in nominal terms to the extent that the super bears are predicting.”
Marc Faber, investment guru and editor and publisher “The Gloom, Boom & Doom” report, said that markets were in an oversold zone in early July and since then global markets have rallied strongly and could rally somewhat more.

Tuesday, July 20, 2010

Mohamed El-Erian : The market is giving you a very clear signal

"The market is giving you a very clear signal. It's saying, 'Let's focus on top-line revenue. It's not enough to focus on on the bottom line, because we don't want to see one-off cost containment, we don't want to see one-off items being shifted," "We want to see top-line revenue growth because we want to see sustainable earnings, and the companies are falling short...of the top-line revenue growth that was anticipated."Mohamed El-Erian told CNBC
via CNBC

Marc Faber : Investors take far too many risks – often with borrowed money

"I feel that most investors take far too many risks – often with borrowed money – and fail to diversify sufficiently. They also have little patience, very short-term time horizons and no tolerance for losses," Marc Faber writes.

"Their expectations about investment returns are completely unrealistic… Most investors buy a stock or make an investment with the view that within a month the return should be between 10% and 20%," he added

"If you can achieve an annual average real return of just 3% on all your assets (inflation adjusted), you will leave a huge fortune to your children".

"The prime consideration should always be capital preservation and avoiding large losses," Faber concludes

Monday, July 19, 2010

Marc Faber : I am not a great believer in this austerity

“I am not a great believer in this austerity that they are proclaiming. I think the fiscal deficit will actually stay very high or even increase and I think that if they decrease the fiscal deficit then it will be offset by very expansionary monetary policy, in other words monetization, so the whole burden to support the economy will fall on monetary policies, then they’ll print money like crazy.
“I would not pay too much attention to what they say but to what the markets do and it seems to me that the people that predicted the Dow Jones at 1000 or S&P at 500 or 200 are misreading the facts that under a fiat monetary system you can print endless quantities of money and so stocks may adjust in real terms but not necessarily in nominal terms to the extent that the super bears are predicting.”

Sunday, July 18, 2010

Marc Faber warns about World War 3 - 14 july 2010

Marc Faber predict : perpetual depression , Inflation and then world scale war

This is an interview in french with radio host Jovanovic
Marc Faber : you should own farm land in order to stay clear in a case of war , because I believe that before the whole system collapses the governments will start inflating the money supply by printing more money until the situation is no longer sustainable , after that the government will start a war , the worse place to be in such a case would be a financial center City , this way the government will turn the attention of its people towards a newly fabricated common enemy, another incentive for war would be the shortage in basic commodities ...

Saturday, July 17, 2010

Mish Shedlock avoid Stocks buy Treasuries and Gold

Mish Shedlock : The Bull Market in treasuries is not over yet

Mish" Shedlock, author of Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis
Mish : we have been heavily in treasuries and moist people mocked that , but we've done rather well in treasuries , I think treasuries still have little life left in them certainly treasuries are no where near the buy when at ten year was 4 percent now its down to three ...I think it's quite possible and we need to keep an open mind in this that the bull market in treasuries is not over ...in fact if you look at two years treasuries we are floating at all time record lows right now .....

Friday, July 16, 2010

Faber : The Fed will implement more Quantitative Easing - Video

Faber Sees Fed Introducing `Massive' Quantitative Easing: Video

Marc Faber : I am convinced they will implement further quantitative easing and massively so , it will probably happen in September October ...The economy is not robust , we have mixed signals but in general the economy is still weak



July 16 (Bloomberg) -- Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, says he's "convinced" the Federal Reserve will soon implement "massive" quantitative easing policies. Bloomberg's Sara Eisen reports. (Source: Bloomberg)

Thursday, July 15, 2010

Marc Faber : stocks may adjust in real terms but not necessarily in nominal terms to the extent that the super bears are predicting

Marc Faber : not convinced of austerity measures as the way to go , Expect fiscal deficit to remain high





Marc Faber : Well Basically we got very over sold at the beginning of July and since then we rallied quite strongly , I think that we can rally some what more but if we look at the S&P the low was 1010 and the previous support was 1040 and the top at the end of April was 1219 so around 1170 there is a lot of resistance and it will be very difficult for the market to get through that resistance ....
we have to distinguish between what central Banks and the governments in the western world say and what they will do , I am not a great believer in this austerity that they are proclaiming , I think the fiscal deficit will actually stay very high or even increase and I think that if they decrease the fiscal deficit then it will be offset by very expansionary monetary policy in other words monetisation , so the whole burden to support the economy will fall on the monetary policies then they'll print money like crazy and so I would not pay too much attention to what they say but to what the markets do and it seems to me that the people that predicted the DOW JONES 1000 or S&P 500 or S&P 200 I think they're misreading the facts that under fiat monetary system you can print endless quantity of money and so stocks may adjust in real terms but not necessarily in nominal terms to the extent that the super bears are predicting ...
Nouriel Roubini Gary Shilling David Rosenberg these are the true deflationists says doctor Marc Faber they advice to be in US government bonds and to basically avoid everything else ...adds Marc Faber : I do not think that the US Bonds are desirable investment for the next 5-10 years....Investments in US Bonds and cash may be a very risky strategy in the long run , Dr Faber rather sees inflation coming than deflation : I am not a great believer in deflation , all the prices around the world are going up says Dr Faber ...


Marc Faber, investment guru and editor and publisher “The Gloom, Boom & Doom” report, said that markets were in an oversold zone in early July and since then global markets have rallied strongly and could rally somewhat more.

Stimulus vs Austerity , Niall Ferguson vs Paul Krugman

Niall Ferguson: Paul Krugman's Advice Will Lead Us Down A Road To Ruin

Nial Fergusson : well let me make clear that as far as I am concerned this rivalry is purely unintellectual one it's not so much within economics , I am not an economist I am a historian it's more of a debate between an economist and a historian about what the lessons of the great depression are ...and that's in my view what all this is all about ...I leave all personal consideration aside I do not think we could be best buddies ......"this is a political problem Niall Fergusson noted and until Washington has its mind focused but yet more bad economic news I do not think there's gonna be any change to that situation .we are fiscally Gridlocked .., republicans want tax cuts democrats want to spend more money and the result is deficit after deficit after deficit.....

Marc Faber : Symptoms Of Deflation

Symptoms Of Deflation
"Another symptom of growing deflationary pressures and expectations is a collapse in lumber prices and the recent rally in long-term government bonds."

in FTB.com

Tuesday, July 13, 2010

Marc Faber : the U.S. will go to war in the next 10 years or so

Marc Faber does expect a Banking crisis for this year but in the next five to ten years ..."you see we had a financial crisis basically the financial system went bust , but it was bailed out by the government , the next time when the train stops is when the government goes bankrupt , and that day I really look forward when the government goes bankrupt because that really what they deserve..." says Marc Faber , Marc Faber believes that the US will go to war (in the next ten years or so ) regardless against whom cause the US has always been good at finding foreign enemies somewhere , Marc Faber also predicts that the US may stop paying the bonds to foreigners especially in case of war

Sunday, July 11, 2010

Marc Faber recommends Gold, Equities, Real Estate , cash. But no Bonds.

Marc Faber on The Financial Sense Newshour with Jim Puplava 09 July 2010





Dr. Marc Faber author and editor of the Gloom boom and Doom report advises against the use of leverage for small investors , Marc Faber says that he is not sure about deflation ,he believes that the Gold bull market will continue and along the way of this bull market corrections may happen ....Marc Faber is not convinced that bonds will rally past their previous 2008 highs "All I have to say to deflationists : if they're right and we have wide spread deflation I am not sure that treasuries will rally because the fiscal deficit will go ballistic and the quality of the government debt will diminish " says Marc Faber...Faber believes that the stock market may have topped in April , The Federal Reserve have been bubble blowers and Obama is a complete disaster says Dr. Marc Faber , stocks will outperform bonds says Marc Faber ....finally due to the coming hyperinflation Marc Faber recommends some gold, equities, and some cash. But no bonds.

Saturday, July 10, 2010

Marc Faber : Excessive credit growth caused the the financial crises

“One day when interest rates go up… the interest payments on the government debts will balloon, and in say 7 years time, the interest payments on the US government debt will be between 35% to 50% of tax revenues. Then you are in a huge mess.”

Friday, July 9, 2010

Marc Faber I prefer diversification and no leverage

Marc Faber : For the average investor like myself, I prefer diversification and no leverage. I have seen time and again investors (including myself) be right about an asset class’ future performance but fail to convert those views into any capital gains… All I wish to say to my readers who are not managing risk on a daily basis is that the prime consideration should always be capital preservation and avoiding large losses.
in wallstreetpit.com

Marc Faber appointed on NovaGold Board

NovaGold Appoints Marc Faber and Igor Levental to Its Board

VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA, Jul 08, 2010 (MARKETWIRE via COMTEX) -- NovaGold Resources Inc. (CA:NG 6.73, +0.19, +2.91%) (NG 6.54, +0.26, +4.14%) today announced the appointment of Dr. Marc Faber and Mr. Igor Levental to its Board of Directors.

Dr. Faber has over 35 years of experience in the finance industry and is the Managing Director of Marc Faber Ltd., an investment advisory and fund management firm.
read full story >>>

Thursday, July 8, 2010

Marc Faber on The global warming

Marc Faber : The global warming alarmists - they may be right I don’t know as I am not a scientist but even the scientists don’t know for sure. There is huge money behind global warming issues. If you have energy conservation and you have this global warming with carbon credits, there is a huge business opportunity. Although there is huge business opportunity, they are not to do anything about it. So the two sides are antagonised by each other and they are going to fight it out like crazy.

One group will say the others don’t understand anything about global warming and the others will prove that the global warming today is what it was in the past 1000 or 2000 years.

There were period during which there were waves of warming climates and then waves of cooling climates. The last 10 years incidentally the climate has cooled down, it has not become warmer but I have to admit when I go to Switzerland, the glaciers are smaller than 30 years ago - that I agree. But I hear both arguments and I cannot tell you what is the reality. I just don’t know. I am an economist, I am not the scientist and even the scientists disagree with each other.
in Economic indiatimes

Wednesday, July 7, 2010

Mohamed El-Erian Markets Outlook

Mohamed on the Markets


Jul. 7 2010 | What's next for the markets, with Mohamed El-Erian, PIMCO CEO & co-CIO and Douglas Holtz-Eakin, Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission.


Talk of Double Dip Recession Grows in U.S.

Reuters Video--Recent economic data and weakness overseas is fueling talk of a double dip recession.

Tuesday, July 6, 2010

Niall Ferguson: The US Has 6 Years Before Debt Payments Surpass Defense Spending

The Aspen Times reports:
And American politicians don't have a sense of urgency, Ferguson contended. They feel the country can limp along for another 20 years or so in its current financial health without making tough decisions about fiscal policy. He believes they are wrong. The federal government's debt has grown so large in the past decade that the United States will inevitably devote an increasing amount of taxes to it. Meanwhile it's facing a greater burden through the Medicare and Social Security programs as Baby Boomers age. It's also currently fighting two wars. All that while revenues have plummeted in the recession.
“If you really want to see when an empire is getting vulnerable, the big giveaway is when the costs of serving the debt exceed the cost of the defense budget,” Ferguson said. That will happen in the United States within the next six years, he predicted.
Read More >>>

Sunday, July 4, 2010

Niall Ferguson vs Paul Krugman on Fareed Zakarias GPS CNN July 04, 2010

Economist Paul Krugman is a proponent of a strong economic stimulus now. On Fareed Zakaria's GPS.
Niall Ferguson Business Prof at Harvard sees a different solution to the U.S. economy from Paul Krugman.

Saturday, July 3, 2010

Marc Faber : The Contrarian Investment Strategies for 2010

The Contrarian play for 2010

..."I avoid US government bonds. I think as a contrarian, you really want the contrarian play. You should buy Japanese stocks and Japanese banks. This is the absolute contrarian play. Nobody is interested in Japan. All the funds have withdrawn money from Japan. They have given up on Japan and I guarantee you the economy would not do. Forget about the economy, the population is shrinking but you can have an economy that does not do well but the companies do well. That is a big difference and I think the Japanese banks are very depressed. All the banks in Asia have actually recovered very strongly but not the Japanese banks so as a contrarian play I would look at that." ....>Marc Faber in www.economictimes.indiatimes.com

All governments will have to be bailed out

"All governments will eventually have to be bailed out in the Western world. It’s either going to be through money printing or default." Marc Faber told Bloomberg few weeks ago

Thursday, July 1, 2010

Marc Faber on industrial commodity

I am cautious about industrial commodity prices, which could come under pressure as global liquidity growth and the global economy slows down. And while I still think that gold will outperform equities in the years to come I believe that a more meaningful correction in the price of gold is now underway. ...Marc Faber on ameinfo.com the ultimate middle east business resource.....

Dr. Marc Faber Tomorrow's Gold







Dr Marc Faber was born in Zurich, Switzerland. He went to school in Geneva and Zurich and finished high school with the Matura. He studied Economics at the University of Zurich and, at the age of 24, obtained a PhD in Economics magna cum laude. Between 1970 and 1978, Dr Faber worked for White Weld & Company Limited in New York, Zurich and Hong Kong. Since 1973, he has lived in Hong Kong. From 1978 to February 1990, he was the Managing Director of Drexel Burnham Lambert (HK) Ltd. In June 1990, he set up his own business, which acts as an investment advisor and fund manager.