Saturday, November 6, 2010
QE2 - a financial Titanic?
Friday, November 5, 2010
Commodities Gone Wild
Rick Santelli, Jobs Rise Despite Government
Thursday, November 4, 2010
The Fed Magic Money-Printing Machine, Act 2
QE2,FED's try to jump start US economy or get Bankers rich and mission accomplished?
"What is “QE”? The first round of “quantitative easing” was a program announced by Ben Bernanke last March in response to the financial crisis, ending in March of this year. In what will soon be known as “QE1”(i.e. once QE2 is announced), Bernanke printed over a trillion dollars out of thin air, then used that money to buy, among other things, mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and Treasury Bonds. In other words, the government was printing money to a) lend to itself and b) prop up the housing market, with Wall Street stepping in to take a big cut. " Matt Taibbi on The Fed's Magic Money-Printing Machine, Act 2 http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/...
****** Quantitative easing *******
The term quantitative easing (QE) describes a monetary policy used by central banks to increase the supply of money by increasing the excess reserves of the banking system. This policy is usually invoked when the normal methods to control the money supply have failed, i.e the bank interest rate, discount rate and/or interbank interest rate are either at, or close to, zero.
A central bank implements QE by first crediting its own account with money it creates ex nihilo ("out of nothing").[1] It then purchases financial assets, including government bonds, agency debt, mortgage-backed securities and corporate bonds, from banks and other financial institutions in a process referred to as open market operations. The purchases, by way of account deposits, give banks the excess reserves required for them to create new money, and thus hopefully induce a stimulation of the economy, by the process of deposit multiplication from increased lending in the fractional reserve banking system.
Risks include the policy being more effective than intended, spurring hyperinflation, or the risk of not being effective enough, if banks opt simply to sit on the additional cash in order to increase their capital reserves in a climate of increasing defaults in their present loan portfolio.[1]
"Quantitative" refers to the fact that a specific quantity of money is being created; "easing" refers to reducing the pressure on banks.[2] However, another explanation is that the name comes from the Japanese-language expression for "stimulatory monetary policy", which uses the term "easing".[3] Quantitative easing is sometimes colloquially described as "printing money" although in reality the money is simply created by electronically adding a number to an account. Examples of economies where this policy has been used include Japan during the early 2000s, and the United States, the United Kingdom and the Eurozone during the global financial crisis of 2008--the present, since the programme is suitable for economies where the bank interest rate, discount rate and/or interbank interest rate are either at, or close to, zero.
Marc Faber : Even 1 Trillion QE2 Will Not Save Stocks
Marc Faber : ....I think QE2 will be interesting to watch , basically what we have is , back in July august investors were very bearish on the market and they talked about the The Hindenburg Omen and that everything would crash and so forth ...and what then happened is that September was very strong and October was reasonably good month as well , and the market has gone from a low on July first of 1010 on the S&P to close to 1200 , and so a lot of QE2 has been discounted and if you were mister Bernanke I suppose that you would probably disappoint investor somewhat with QE2 and watch once the market reaction , if the market really sell-off you can then increase QE2 or launch QE3 , and QE4 and QE5 and so forth , they'll be many more QEs ......etc....
Anything under a Trillion Dollars Will Dissapoint Market
Weak Dollar Strong Gold Silver Industrial Commodities
Correction then Boom in Stocks and Commodities
Reasonably Positive on Equites
Cash and Bonds Negative
China Economic Pullback Overheated
Real Cost of living 8-15%
Food 50% of living expenses
Wednesday, November 3, 2010
Markets Reaction to Fed Decision
Marc Faber still positive on Crude Oil
On the other hand, you have prices between $70 and $80 and someone could argue well that that is a very high price and so maybe prices will temporarily decline - that may be the case. But I would like to point out that for any oil company to go and explore and drill for new oil, the oil price has to be around $70. Otherwise, they would not do it because the marginal cost of new production is around this level.
Secondly, unlike say a farmer who harvests, oil is a finite resource in the sense that once you pump it and you burn it, it is no longer there. The farmer can harvest his crop every year again and again and again. In the case of oil, once you pump it, it is gone and you use it. So in most countries, oil production is going down and oil reserves are going down. In other words, the world will hit one day peak oil, the way the US hit peak oil in 1970. So the dynamics between the demand and the supply side look actually quite promising in the long run. ...
Marc Faber in an interview with the economictimes.indiatimes.com dated 28 Sep, 2010
Tuesday, November 2, 2010
Rick Santelli to Policymakers: You Cant Keep Sweeping Things Under the Rug
Marc Faber I like the agricultural commodities but we will get kind of a setback
The whole world is now optimistic and positioned to take advantage of forever expansionary monetary policies by buying assets, precious metals, real estate, equities, and everybody believes that the central banks in the world will print and print and print and print. That is correct, they will do that, but they printed, printed and printed and we still saw a financial crisis in 2008. So I can print and print and print, and you can still have big corrections in the market. But I believe that if the S&P in the US drops 15-20% to around 900-950, the Fed would come out not with this quantitative easing No. 2, but with quantitative easing No. 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 until the asset markets go up again. They are going to print and print and print. ``
in economictimes.indiatimes.com 28 Sep, 2010
Monday, November 1, 2010
Marc Faber : when emerging economies go up, commodities also go up
So it’s a mixed picture. But in general I would say - if I look at rural areas in Asia , in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, the Philippines and also India - the rural areas are doing very well. So it’s a plus for their economies because by and large the urbanisation rate in the case of India is still relatively low. ...
in economictimes.indiatimes.com
Marc Faber anything less than $1 trillion From Bernanke could disappoint investors and might prompt a Market correction
Sunday, October 31, 2010
Marc Faber : I think a correction is overdue,
Speaking with Margaret Brennan on Bloomberg Television's "InBusiness" on Tuesday, Faber said the next round of quantitative easing will be interesting to watch as a lot of QE2 has already been discounted and may have the unintended consequence of prompting a market correction.
"Back in July- August, investors were very bearish on the market. What then happened is that September was very strong and October was a reasonably good month... and the market has gone from a low on July 1st of 1010 on the S&P, to close to 1200," he said.
Read full article >>>>
Friday, October 29, 2010
Faber Interview on U.S. Stocks, Fed Policy
Stephen Roach Housing Still in the Weeds
Thursday, October 28, 2010
Stephen Roach, Americas Economy Looks Cloudy
Marc Faber : Stocks and Gold Correction Overdue
Marc Faber : ....I think that a correction is overdue, but I wouldn’t think the bear market is around the corner. I think on a correction there will be buying opportunity and I think we will have a crack up boom in stocks.....
Stephen Roach, U.S. Has Japan Disease, Could Drag Global Economy Into a Quagmire
Roach expounds on that idea in the accompanying interview, recorded at The Economist’s Buttonwood Gathering in New York City.
The message is simple: The U.S. has learned nothing from Japan. If it continues on the path of QE2, “Japanese disease” is likely to spread like a pandemic throughout the globe, he warns. "I am increasingly worried that the world economy is at risk of falling into a Japanese-like quagmire." read full article >>>>>
Wednesday, October 27, 2010
Joseph Stiglitz : TARP Returns a Drop in the Bucket Compared to Damage Done
Marc Faber Market Sell Off On QE2 Announcement
Oct. 26 (Bloomberg) -- Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, discusses the potential impact of further quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve on stocks. Faber, speaking with Margaret Brennan on Bloomberg Television's "InBusiness," says more monetary easing could disappoint investors and may prompt a correction in U.S. stocks. (Source: Bloomberg)
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, discusses the potential impact of further quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve on stocks.
Marc Faber : the future will be a total disaster,
Tuesday, October 26, 2010
Marc Faber QE2 to Drive Down Stocks
Marc Faber on Bloomberg 10/26/10
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, discusses the potential impact of further quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve on stocks.
Marc Faber : ....I think QE2 will be interesting to watch , basically what we have is , back in July august investors were very bearish on the market and they talked about the The Hindenburg Omen and that everything would crash and so forth ...and what then happened is that September was very strong and October was reasonably good month as well , and the market has gone from a low on July first of 1010 on the S&P to close to 1200 , and so a lot of QE2 has been discounted and if you were mister Bernanke I suppose that you would probably disappoint investor somewhat with QE2 and watch once the market reaction , if the market really sell-off you can then increase QE2 or launch QE3 , and QE4 and QE5 and so forth , they'll be many more QEs ......etc....
Monday, October 25, 2010
Bernanke On Housing Finance
Dollar at Risk of Becoming Toxic Waste
Sunday, October 24, 2010
Marc Faber : Print, Print and Print
Full Story:
CLICK HERE FOR ORIGINAL SOURCEFriday, October 22, 2010
Niall Ferguson: Chinese More Committed to Capitalism
Marc Faber on Deflation and Inflation
Marc Faber: Yes. And also I’d like to point out that in an economic system you can always have, in some sectors of the economy, deflation and then in the other sectors inflation. And we have now a global economy. I can assure you, you can go anywhere in the world – whether it’s Brazil, Africa, Asia, Central Asia, Russia.
The price level today is of course much higher than 20 years ago or ten years ago. So the US and western Europe, they may have on an international scale a bias towards maybe deflating a little bit, certainly. Real wages are deflating. But in emerging economies you have a lot of inflation. In some countries you have food prices going up annually at 20 percent per annum. And nobody can tell me that his energy bill is today lower than it was ten years ago.
Because the price of oil is much higher. It is up from ten dollars a barrel to say eighty dollars a barrel.
via the Daily Reckoning
Thursday, October 21, 2010
Marc Faber : The weight of the global economy is shifting to Emerging Economies.
The Global Economy: Gloom Boom or Doom? The Daily Reckoning's Interview with Dr. Marc Faber
The Daily Reckoning's Eric Fry sat down with the Gloom Boom and Doom Report's Dr. Marc Faber to get his opinion on where the global economy is headedMarc Faber: Well,you know the world is in transition and you have some trends that are favorable and other trends that are no favorable. So I think it’s not a question to be ultra-bearish or ultra-bullish but to try to identify where there are opportunities. And I believe, in general, we live through very interesting times in the sense that the weight of the global economy is shifting to emerging economies....And we’ll have volatility in emerging economies, but in general I think that as a percent of world’s GDP, you will find in 10 20 years time countries like India, China, Vietnam, Latin America, Africa, the Middle East, Russia, Central Asia will have a much larger weight and also a much larger say in the global economic affairs and political affairs. And that will lead to a lot of tension and volatilities in asset markets....
Marc Faber : ...... if you really think through the deflation scenario then it would mean that the economy in the western world, notably in the US, is very weak.
So what happens if the economy is very weak under the Obama administration, the fiscal deficit goes up not down. The government tanks as a percent of economy expands. Monetary policies will have another huge easy move, or another extraordinary measure increasing the effects balance sheet. These are all factors that then lead eventually to more inflation.Even if you have an environment where GDP per capita in real terms, inflation adjustment goes down. The government will of course lie about it. They will make it look good with all statistical adjustments they can use. The rate will go down as it has for the last ten years, but asset markets can go up very strongly....etc....
via www.dailyreckoning.com
Marc Faber : Currency War Can Be Solved With U.S. Austerity
Read more: http://www.sfgate.com>>>
Wednesday, October 20, 2010
Marc Faber : precious metals will continue to perform reasonably well over the next years
If I put a gun to your head and if I tell you, ‘Marc, lock a trade for next three years, only one trade, long/short you take your pick but only one trade,’ which will you open and keep it open for next three years? Identify that golden trade for us.
In three years or 10 years time, precious metals will be higher than they are today. But we may have a correction coming in the next, say, three months. But in general, when I look at the risk and the reward, it is very likely that precious metals will continue to perform reasonably well. But if S&P drops to around 950, then the Fed will again massively ease and print money. So the surprise could actually be that in nominal terms, equity markets actually go up. They may not go up in gold terms, but they may go up quite strongly in nominal terms. So I would not be overly bearish about equities. ..."
in www.economictimes.indiatimes.com
Tuesday, October 19, 2010
Marc Faber My worst investment decisions is to lend money to friend
Shorting the Nasdaq in 1998 was also a disaster, and it will remain, in my life as an investment advisor and fund manager, a very black spot. The damage was considerable.
read full interview 5 Questions With Marc Faber By: CNBC.com >>>>
Monday, October 18, 2010
Marc Faber: sell cash and bonds before the bubble burst
Marc Faber : Investors should buy stocks and sell cash and bonds because governments are continuing to print too much money and may create a new “credit bubble, “Instead of interest rates' going down, they could start to go up. Instead of the dollar being weak, it could strengthen,” Marc Faber told reporters during a forum in Seoul, South Korea, last week. “I'm ultrabearish on everything, but I believe you'll be better off owning shares than government bonds,” he added.
In 1987 Dr.Marc Faber also warned his clients to cash out before the Black Monday on Wall Street. He made them handsome profits by forecasting the burst in the Japanese Bubble in 1990. He correctly predicted the collapse in US gaming stocks in 1993; and he foresaw the Asia-Pacific financial crisis of 1997/98 and the resulting global volatility. Dr Doom motto is "Follow the course opposite to custom and you will almost be right"
Saturday, October 16, 2010
Steve Forbes : Is Nationalized Housing Next ? - Fox October 16, 2010
Friday, October 15, 2010
Jim Grant : Quantitative Easing Is Just Money Printing
Jim Grant on Bloomberg 10/8/10: Quantitative Easing Is Just Money Printing
James Grant, editor of Grant's Interest Rate Observer, and Neal Soss, chief economist at Credit Suisse Holdings USA Inc., talk about the outlook for Federal Reserve monetary policy, the labor market and the dollar.Marc Faber US Bonds May become Worthless
via www.handelsblatt.com
Basel III Not Enough to Prevent Another Crisis
Thursday, October 14, 2010
Krugman: China is the Bad Guy in the Currency War
Krugman: We Need Trillions Worth of QE
Wednesday, October 13, 2010
Insight Into Mongolian Mining Corp
Marc Faber Says World Heading for Major Inflection Point
read more at Bloomberg.com>>>
Marc Faber sees interest rates going up within three months
This is exactly the opposite of what the US Federal Reserve is promising, and is bound to turn global financial markets upside down. Higher interest rates will strengthen the dollar rather than weaken it, while the value of bond holdings all over the globe will be decimated.
read entire article
Tuesday, October 12, 2010
Adam Ferguson, The Danger of Printing Money
Monday, October 11, 2010
Gold and Silver Are Sounding The Alarm
http://inflation.us/
Helping Americans Prepare for Hyperinflation.
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How Gold and Silver are Warning U.S.
Gold is Sounding an Alarm Few in the Mainstream Media Want to Discuss
The questions is - Why are Gold and Silver Price Alarms going off?
First, Western World budget deficits are now totally uncontrolled. Debt is esentially destroying the Western World
Second, The Obama administration has saddled us with enough debt at the federal level to last three generations all in the name of "stimulus".
Third, The US Federal Reserve is Insolvent and Bankrupt They have flooded the system with liquidity through Quantitative Easing
They have loaded their balance sheet with worthless loan paper and reduced interest rates to 0% for over 20 months
And What have been the results? Paralyzed job growth., record unemployment, record food stamps, and record poverty levels.
Gold and Silver are sounding the Alarm, but Food and Energy price increases will soon follow.
The face of Inflation has recently reared its ugly head in commodity prices.
The Commodity sector is driving food prices to levels not seen since 2008. (Graph of Commodities prices)
When higher commodity prices translate into $500 grocery bills, recession weary americans may go into economic shock.
Energy Prices have stayed in check, but this may be the calm before the oil price storm.
When oil and energy prices rise rapidly, home heating bills, home cooling bills and gasoline prices will join the long list of soaring costs nationwide.
Remember when gasoline went to $5 dollars per gallon? A sheer panic ripped across this country. It's coming again, but be prepared for the prices to stay
The combination of skyhigh food and gasoline prices may be the final nail in the coffin of the American Middle Class.
Travelling with Physical Gold Coins as insurance will soon become the norm. In many parts of the world the 1996 $50 or $100 US note is worthless because of the quality of counterfeits being printed internationally.
In Europe, American travellers are learning that the US Dollar is untradeable on the street. And Personally, 1 gold coin got me out of a very bad situation in Mexico City during the H1N1 outbreak.
Make no mistake about what you are seeing, especially with the price action of gold and silver.
Both metals are signifying a loss of confidence in the Dollar and particularly in its management team.
The Price of gold is no longer mental speculation, but rather reality hiding in plain sight.
The Day when every American recognizes paper bills as trash and gold and silver as true money, is almost here.
Sunday, October 10, 2010
Marc Faber speaker at the New Orleans 2010 Investment Conference October 27-30 2010.

Dr Doom Marc Faber will be a key speaker at the New Orleans 2010 Investment Conference www.neworleansconference.com ,which will be taking place October 27-30. Other speakers include Newt Gingrich, Brien Lundin, President and CEO of Jefferson Financial, and Charles Krauthammer. Marc Faber's intervention will be under the title 'Global inflation and the Commodities Boom , governments are cranking up the printing presses but not all commodities will benefit....'
Saturday, October 9, 2010
Marc Faber s October Outlook
Marc Faber is out with his monthly report in which he discusses quantitative easing, equity markets, the dollar, gold, and other commodities. Here are a few highlights:
1. Equity Markets--Faber was correct last month in predicting a rally based upon extremely negative investor sentiment. He is more cautious about October because stocks are very overbought according to the % of stock above their 50 day moving average. Another reason for concern, is that after a strong September, markets often fall sharply in October and November. He is underweight equities right now.
read entire article
Friday, October 8, 2010
Marc Faber : 666 on the S&P is a major low and we will not go below that level
in economictimes.indiatimes.com
Thursday, October 7, 2010
David Rosenberg, James Paulsen on U.S. Economy
GOLD AND SILVER ARE NOT EXPENSIVE
Gold and Silver Prices Signal the Destruction of the Dollar
http://inflation.us/
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The Federal Reserve is Responsible for the last 2 Decades of Economic Turmoil
1. Beginning with the Savings & Loan crisis in 1990, each engineered crisis is growing in intensity and carnage. First, there was the Internet bubble crash then the Real Estate bubble meltdown and now we are at the footsteps of an unprecedented acceleration of price increases in food and energy.
In 2007, commodity prices soared when there was actually a slowdown in the global economy. There was no reason for commodity prices to go ballistic at that time, except for federal reserve intervention. The price of oil went from $78 to $147. High gas prices actually burdened the average US consumer with an additional "tax" of five hundred billion dollars.
That 500 billion dollar "hidden tax" was ONE of many reasons, we are IN the current Great (NON) Recession.
(The US Dollar Index is Worthless)
2. On CNBC they often point to the dollar index and state that a weaker dollar is good for the export economy. Currently US Dollar index looks bad - but it actually means nothing because it is being compared to other world wide fiat currencies undergoing massive debasement. Worldwide central banks, seem to be in a currency death dance, racing each other to the bottom in the name of international competitiveness.
Gold and Silver is the Only way to test the Strength of our Currency.
The dollar is weakening against other currencies but when compared against the price of precious metals and raw materials we can see THE THE TRUE VALUE OF A US FEDERAL RESERVE NOTE
(GOLD AND SILVER ARE NOT EXPENSIVE)
3. The truth is Gold and Silver prices are just Getting Started. If you pay attention the public is selling not buying gold (cash4gold commercial)
What happened during the Internet bubble? The average Joe was piling into tech stocks and many individuals were giving up there jobs to day trade full time
And we all know what transpired during the last death throws of the Real estate bubble. People were buying at the peak 3, 4, 5, 10 home and flipping every WHICH way to make AS LITTLE AS 20,000
The common JOE, BUYS into manias...When all your neighbors are hoarding and trading gold, and telling you real estate is a waste of time and money, it may be the time to look at diversifying some your investments out of gold and silver.
WHAT I SEE PERSONALLY IS
10 years of Real Estate Stagnation & Depreciation &
10 years of Gold & Silver Appreciation
4 (JOBS ARE NOT COMING BACK TO THE US)
TO QUOTE Dr. Marc Faber: "COMPANIES would be out of THEIR minds, with health care reforms, government interventions and the uncertainty about future taxes in the US, to even consider expanding in the US.
Corporations are expanding in China, India, Vietnam, Bangladesh, Africa and Brazil. The business world is an international place today, and if you run a corporation, whether you employ 50 or 10,000 PEOPLE, you can choose where you invest your money in terms of capital spending.
Where do you want to expand factories? If I employed people in the US, I would rather think of reducing the 50 employees RATHER THEN HIRING MORE.
source : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=doSpeRyBHw8
Marc Faber still bullish on agri-commodities
Positive about economic growth in emerging world Marc Faber-Expert Views-TV-Economic Times
28th September 2010Marc Faber :"Basically I am not very keen to buy emerging economies at the present time and I would rather lighten up positions. As far as the equity allocation between equities, bonds, cash and precious metals, commodities and real estate is concerned, that depends on every individual. It is like if you go to the doctor and you tell him ‘oh, what kind of pills shall I take?’ That depends very much on the individual, on the status of his health, on his ailments and so you cannot generalize.
But for me, I like Asian real estate, I like equities in Asia, I still like precious metals and I like in particular physical precious metals. I also own gold shares because I am the chairman of several resource related companies, mining companies in the exploration domain and so I own them. But my preference is for physical gold and silver and then I own real estate and I have some bonds not because I particularly like bonds, but I look at corporate bonds as kind of an equity with a relatively high dividend. "
Marc Faber "Yes, I still like these commodities (agri-commodities), but because they moved up so strongly, I would be a little bit careful about mortgaging my house and buying all these commodities. They will continue to move higher, but corrections can occur. What disturbs me is this kind of universal belief that you have to be in commodities, you have to be in precious metals, you have to be in equities and not in cash because governments - in others words central banks - will keep on printing money and the value of paper money will go down. I agree with that but as I pointed out, we can still get meaningful corrections as occurred in 2008. "
Dr. Marc Faber Tomorrow's Gold
Dr Marc Faber was born in Zurich, Switzerland. He went to school in Geneva and Zurich and finished high school with the Matura. He studied Economics at the University of Zurich and, at the age of 24, obtained a PhD in Economics magna cum laude. Between 1970 and 1978, Dr Faber worked for White Weld & Company Limited in New York, Zurich and Hong Kong. Since 1973, he has lived in Hong Kong. From 1978 to February 1990, he was the Managing Director of Drexel Burnham Lambert (HK) Ltd. In June 1990, he set up his own business, which acts as an investment advisor and fund manager.
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