Wednesday, August 31, 2011

Industrial commodities would get hit very badly if China went into a recession

Marc Faber : I actually live on airplanes but if I'm not traveling i'm in the north of Thailand but i used to live 30 years in Hong Kong and I have an office in Hong Kong . .... yes. some people will tell you that china will crash. it's possible. other people are very positive about china or complacent. nobody knows precisely. we have a number of problems in china. we also have a misallocation of resources. I'm in Brazil today. all i can tell you is that in emerging economies, whether it is Brazil Russia, middle east, India or china or Thailand or Indonesia, the individual household is not highly leveraged. mortgage debt as a percent of the economy is very low. you don't have the debt overhang we have in the western world. china can have a slowdown and that's why I would rather not own industrial commodities that would get hit very badly if China went into a recession. equally we can have a recession in china for two years and thereafter we'll recover - in CNBC

Dr. Marc Faber Tomorrow's Gold







Dr Marc Faber was born in Zurich, Switzerland. He went to school in Geneva and Zurich and finished high school with the Matura. He studied Economics at the University of Zurich and, at the age of 24, obtained a PhD in Economics magna cum laude. Between 1970 and 1978, Dr Faber worked for White Weld & Company Limited in New York, Zurich and Hong Kong. Since 1973, he has lived in Hong Kong. From 1978 to February 1990, he was the Managing Director of Drexel Burnham Lambert (HK) Ltd. In June 1990, he set up his own business, which acts as an investment advisor and fund manager.