Sunday, September 18, 2011

Marc Faber : Finanzkrise und der totale Kollaps

( In German ) Interview zur Finanzkrise mit Professor Max Otte und Dr. Marc Faber. Fast über Nacht hat die Finanzkrise Professor Max Otte berühmt gemacht und zum Bestsellerautor. Als 2006 sein Buch mit dem Titel „Der Crash kommt erschien, nahmen nur wenige davon Notiz. Interview über Ursachen und Folgen der Finanzkrise. Themen: * expansive Geldpolitik (Kreditwachstum) als Ursache der Blasenbildung * die Unverantwortlichkeit und Dummheit der Regierungen und der Notenbanken * drohende hohe Inflation * Unsicherheit von Staatsanleihen * soziale Umbrüche & Revolutionen * drohender Staatsbankrott Gerade über wirtschaftliche Krisen hinweg erweist sich dies für den Anleger als äußerst vorteilhaft.

Marc Faber : «Wir sind alle dem Untergang geweiht, weil uns die Regierungen vollständig übernehmen werden. Die Regierungen werden uns alle in den Bankrott treiben»

Saturday, September 17, 2011

S&P 500 Will not Surpass the 2011 Peak of About 1,370

Marc Faber : I said earlier this year that the S&P high of 1370 will be the highest for this year then we dropped to 1102 and now we rallied to over 1200 I think the super bears will be wrong and the super bulls will be wrong and that the market will kind of have a trading range , but obviously if the FED prints money like war which is not totally unlikely , then the value of money will lose in other words the S&P could go from this 1200 level here to say 2000 but in gold terms and in inflation adjusted terms it could go down , so I am not a heavy short seller but I can understand the arguments of the isolationists who argue that the private debt collapse in other words the private debt construction will exceed the government debt creation and that therefore the S&P will collapse to 400 , I can understand that and I have sympathy for that that's why I am telling your listeners you should have about 25% of your money in stocks, 25% in real estate, 25% in gold and silver and 25% in cash. - in Yahoo Finance

The baby boomers were born into a generation of entitlement

Marc Faber : I have to make here a distinction , in Asian societies , if you do not work you have nothing nobody will give you anything government does not come in and helps you , the problem is that the baby boomers were born into a generation of entitlement , whatever you do if something goes wrong the government will step in and give it to you , you are sick the government will pay , you cause an accident in the highway , insurance paid by the government will pay , and and and ....All I am saying is basically if you want to have a properly functioning economy it has to be a market economy , if you believe in a market economy and capitalistic system you don't believe in government intervention, If you want to have a properly functioning economy it has to be a market economy with all its drawbacks and disadvantages and the pain for individuals. That is the only way it will function. - in Yahoo Finance

Friday, September 16, 2011

Market volatility is a Consequence of Zero Interest Rate

Marc Faber : ( Stock Market volatility ) well I do not think it is a sign of a healthy market but it's let's say a Consequence of Zero Interest Rate , I have argued for years that the Federal Reserve with its artificial low interest rate instead of creating monetary and economic stability has created more instability by creating the NASDQ bubble the housing bubble the commodities bubble and now creating a giant government debt bubble and so we are going to have a lot of volatility every year for the next few years where markets will go up and down for at least thirty percent per anum and I think in real terms , inflation adjusted terms it will not make much headways - in Yahoo Finance

Thursday, September 15, 2011

The Market Economy is the Only properly functioning economy

Marc Faber : I have to make here a distinction , in Asian societies , if you do not work you have nothing nobody will give you anything government does not come in and helps you , the problem is that the baby boomers were born into a generation of entitlement , whatever you do if something goes wrong the government will step in and give it to you , you are sick the government will pay , you cause an accident in the highway , insurance paid by the government will pay , and and and ....All I am saying is basically if you want to have a properly functioning economy it has to be a market economy , if you believe in a market economy and capitalistic system you don't believe in government intervention, If you want to have a properly functioning economy it has to be a market economy with all its drawbacks and disadvantages and the pain for individuals. That is the only way it will function. - in Yahoo Finance

Cash & Bonds are not very desirable

Marc Faber : I think cash and bonds are not very desirable. Equity and precious metals look okay. However, there will be more volatility. The prices of anything, whether commodity or stocks, depend on many factors. As far as commodities are concerned, I think the global economy is slowing significantly and the demand for industrial commodities will not grow that fast.

The next crisis will be worse than the one in 2008

Marc Faber : We never really had a recovery in the Western world. The stock markets went up because of the money printing and support in 2009. My view is that they can probably muddle through for another two-three years by piling up the fiscal deficit or printing more money. I do not know when it will happen in 2012 or in 2018, but the next crisis will be worse than the one in 2008. - in business-standard.com

Wednesday, September 14, 2011

The Indian market would go lower from the current levels

Marc Faber : I think the Indian markets will not go lower to those 2008 levels, but would go lower from the current levels to, may be, 12,000-15,000 levels. From their low in 2009, the Indian markets till recently rose to 21,000, which is almost 100 per cent returns. I do not call this a bear market rally, but a bull market. We now have had the beginning of a bear market.- in business-standard.com

The Gold price is extremely overbought , It could easily drop toward the 200-day moving average

What will drive the gold price?
Marc Faber : Gold bottomed out in late January and peaked out on August 23. My first thought was that the closely correlated move between treasury bonds (T-bonds) and gold was illogical. Then, I considered that investors panicked into T-bonds because of a scare that the financial system would implode (flight to safety). For the same reasons, investors rushed into gold. In other words, the gold buyers were not buying gold because of inflation fears but because they were afraid of a systemic failure. I think it is important for investors to understand the role of gold as an insurance against a systemic failure and not necessarily as a hedge against inflation. I should add that I own gold for both reasons, believing that it will perform well in both an inflationary and deflationary environment. In addition, I am not selling any gold but traders should realise the gold price is extremely overbought and that it could easily drop toward the 200-day moving average – that is, between $1,500 and $1,600 (not a prediction). As I just said, I am not selling my gold because I expect much higher prices in future. But, near term, both T-bonds and gold appear vulnerable to a more serious correction. - in business-standard.com

There is more room for gold to appreciate further

Marc Faber : I have a reason. I have been writing every month that people should accumulate gold. Yes, there is more room for gold to appreciate further. Most people do not own gold. Most people think gold prices are very high. Today, the gold price is cheaper than in the 1980s when it was around $400 an ounce, considering the increase in global monetary base and the US money printing.

Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Gold & Silver will move in the same direction

Marc Faber : Gold and silver will move in the same direction, but I prefer gold, though I have friends who prefer silver. - in business-standard.com

Marc Fabers asset allocation

Marc Faber : I have 25 per cent in real estate and real estate-related equities here in Asia, 25 per cent in gold, 25 per cent in stocks and 25 per cent in cash. - in business-standard.com

The Keynesian interventionists have some kind of a silent QE3 already underway

Marc Faber : This time, I think they may not make an official announcement. But some kind of a silent QE3 is already underway, considering that M1 growth (cash and near-cash deposits) has accelerated to the fastest expansion in 35 years. I have no idea what the Keynesian interventionists, led by Bernanke, Krugman & Co will come up with next, except that they will further pursue their erroneous economic policies. The only question is how far they will move and what the impact might be on asset markets - in business-standard.com

Monday, September 12, 2011

The Dollar should rebound somewhat but all paper currencies are rotten

Marc Faber : well I think the Dollar is mildly oversold and should rebound somewhat but you understand all paper currencies are rotten , rotten because they are run by a bunch of money printers everywhere in the world , I would rather go into assets such as real estate equities precious metals than into paper - in CNBC TV 18 - 8-Sept-11

Money is moving out of paper into Gold

Marc Faber : I think today to buy a 30 years government bonds at a yield of 3.65 percent and a ten years at a yield of 2.31 percent is suicidal financially , suicidal , I would rather buy equities today but I think after a rebound we are going to go lower because the momentum is now very strong on the downside and I believe as one of your commentators said before there is a loss in confidence in paper money and Money is moving out of paper into Gold - in CNBC TV 18 - 8-Sept-11

Sunday, September 11, 2011

More QEs until the final collapse happens

Marc Faber : "they'll come in with some kind of package but they won't call it QE3 but indirectly it will be QE3 than there will be more QEs until the final collapse happens " , Faber says , and when asked when he thinks the final collapse happens he answers : " well it could be three years ten years , I do not think it will happen right away " - in Tech Ticker

The Situation in the US is worse than Europe

Dr .Marc Faber was asked by Yahoo Tech ticker if he believes that the The Situation in the US is worse than Europe he answered : "..Yes but the US has a huge advantage it has the printing press and they are going to print print and print with of course unintended consequences one of which is the declining onf the value of the US Dollar and another of course is the increase in the cost of living of many people and do not forget the intervention monetary wise to keep interest rates at an artificial low level has a very negative impact on the whole state pension fund industry and insurance industry- in Tech Ticker

Saturday, September 10, 2011

Marc Faber : Gold is Dirt Cheap


Marc Faber : I have argued for years that the Federal Reserve with its artificially low interest rates instead of creating monetary and economic stability has created more instability by creating the NASDAQ bubble the Housing Bubble the commodities bubble and now creating the giant government debt bubble and so we are going to have a lot of volatility every year for the next few years where markets every year will go up and down by at least 20 to 30 percent per annum and I think in real terms inflation adjusted terms they will not make much headway ....I do not think there is a bubble in Gold because first of all whatever you read about gold everybody seems to think there is a bubble these are the same people that thought that gold was a bubble when it was at 400 dollars at 700 dollars and at 1900 dollars , now can Gold correct meaningfully ? for sure , in the great bull market for gold 1970 to January 1980 gold went from 35 dollars to 850 dollars , fro December 1974 to August 1976 Gold price dropped 40 percent and then it went up 8 times so yeah we could have a correction to 1500 , 1600 dollars on the gold price but believe me as long as we have characters like Mr Obama equal Zero and Mr Bernanke , Gold will be very well supported ....quite frankly I have no idea how high gold will go , but I think it will go higher and according to some statistics the gold price today should be worth between $6000/oz and $10000/oz , and all I can say is since the 1980s we have had a huge wealth creation in the world in India in Brazil in Viet Nam in China and in Russia and so forth and so on and when you compare the price of gold to this wealth creation I thing the price of gold is still relatively low

Friday, September 9, 2011

Marc Faber : Ignore The Government Garbage

Marc Faber : look I have a TV in my office , if I switch it on once a month to look at the news that's about it I am not interested in the Garbage these government officials broadcast either they are lies or they are distrustful , You can't trust them anymore because they produce statistics that are completely unrealistic.
"Basically if you believe in a market economy and capitalistic system you don't believe in government intervention," Faber says. "If you want to have a properly functioning economy it has to be a market economy with all its drawbacks and disadvantages and the pain for individuals. That is the only way [the economy] will function."

Obama speech & Jobs Plan irrelevant

Dr Marc Faber reacts to Obama's speech about his $447 Jobs plan : I think the speech is quite irrelevant , it is more of the same again , government interventions and obviously it is a sign that budget deficit in the US will not diminish meaningfully that the government debt will continue to rise ...I do not think there will be a strong reaction - Marc Faber told The Indian CNBC TV18 .

Thursday, September 8, 2011

Diversification as an Investment strategy

Marc Faber : well I think it is very important to maintain diversification , I would advise to be 25 to 30 percent in equities with a large portion in overseas equities in particular emerging economies , I would advise him to hold some gold 25 percent or so , where by I think that for the next 6 months gold would rather decline than go up and I would hold some cash and bonds and then I would own may be 25 percent in real estate- in Bloomberg Radio Interview 03 Sept 2011

Wednesday, September 7, 2011

Global Equities in a Bear Market that started a year ago

CNBC TV18 exclusive interview with Marc Faber : ...no question about it this is a bear market it begun actually a year ago and then QE2 came in and kicked up stocks but the majority of stocks did not make a new high and we picked out on the S&P at 1370 on May 2nd 2011 and since then the technical action on the market has been horrible....

Tuesday, September 6, 2011

Gold not in a Bubble

Marc Faber : "I don't think that gold is in a bubble," "When you buy gold, it's an insurance against systematic failure and problems in the financial markets." When you buy gold, it's an insurance against systematic failure and problems in the financial markets" "I'd buy every month a little bit of gold,"  Faber added - in Bloomberg

Monday, September 5, 2011

Marc Faber : Ron Paul is Honest

Marc Faber : ...But obviously what happened is the removal of Glass Steagall and also the bailout of LTCM in 1998 essentially gave a green light to financial institutions that they could leverage up there would be a Greenspan put and later a Barnanke put and and basically they became huge and badly run hedge funds leveraging up their balance sheet like now the FED is also hugely leveraged and I think we have had as we started out this mixture and combination between politics and business and is as M Ryan said that basically when you see that men get richer by grasp and by pull rather than by work and your laws do not protect you against them but protect them against you and when you see corruption rewarded and honesty becoming a self sacrifice like Mr Ron Paul he is looked upon as someone an oddball because he is honest and I think that's where we have reached and this society in my opinion will eventually end up very badly , .....and this crisis of 2008 - 2009 has actually made the system much worse and much more corrupt- in Bloomberg Radio Interview 03 Sept 2011

Honest & Dishonest Money

Marc Faber : ...well I think everybody knows money has different functions one of them is obviously to facilitate the exchange of goods and services the other one is to be a store of value and the third one is a unit of account , and I think that with zero interest rates and cost on living increasing in the order of 5 to 10 percent for most families in the United States , Money as a store of value is no longer existent and that's what I mean with Honest and Dishonest Money , and if look at the monetary base how it's grown since the mid 1980s and especially if you look at M1 that recently has reached the growth rate that is the highest in 35 years then you will ask yourself what will ultimately the value of paper money be - in Bloomberg Radio Interview - 03 Sept 2011

The Prospect for growth in Europe and the US not good

Marc Faber : "If I look at the politicians both in Europe and the US, I don't think that prospect (for growth) is very good," . "If I also look at the entitlement system and the government expenditures and the fiscal deficits and the debt overhang, I think for the next 10 years we'll have very muted growth in the Western world and standards of living for the average household will continue to decline." - in CNBC

Sunday, September 4, 2011

Marc Faber : The US dollar is better than the Euro for the time being

Marc Faber : I think that the Chinese bought Euros at central banks frequently , they buy the currency which has been strong instead of the currency that will be strong and relatively to the Euro I think that the US dollar is probably the better currency for the time being , but may be the Chinese buy the Euro in the hope that the Euro will survive as a currency of Germany and that the weak countries will exit the Eurozone or kicked out ....- in Bloomberg Radio Interview 03 Sept 2011

Saturday, September 3, 2011

Marc Faber - Bloomberg Radio Interview - 31 Aug 2011

Dr. Marc Faber interviewed by phone from Vancouver Canada by Bloomberg Radio , Marc Faber Says EU Should Have Let Greece Fail he further discusses the Greece debt crisis , the European Union and global financial the future of the dollar and the Euro his investment strategy in this market and why be believes Gold will correct in the coming 6 months to around $1600

Friday, September 2, 2011

One cannot be overly optimistic about Equities

Marc Faber : well, I don't know. I think that in general one of the reasons one cannot be overly optimistic about equities is if you go back to the period 1982 when the market bottomed out in august '82 up to year 2000, investors kind of worldwide trusted the regulators, they trusted the system and they were enthusiastic about owning equities. over the last ten years, the mood has changed a lot. investors and individuals in particular don't trust management anymore they are upset about executive compensation and they have low view of that. they are upset about the regulators. they think the markets are rigged. they are upset about rating agencies. there is a mistrust in paper. i think a lot of individuals will not come back to the share market and on rebounds they will reduce their positions. - in CNBC

Thursday, September 1, 2011

I am not interested in financial stocks

Marc Faber : I personally I am not interested in financial stocks because I am in the financial sector. the only exception to that is banks in asia are reasonably sound because they never went and dabbled in all kinds of Greek bonds and Portuguese bonds and so forth and so on and we had a horrendous crisis in  97- 98 and following that crisis we had a period of ten years during which there was deleveraging. the banks in asia are reasonably sound. I wouldn't necessarily buy them today. they move lower along with the markets but in general if I look at financial stocks and I would look at banks in emerging economies, in India, in Thailand and possibly at some point in China but not yet. - in CNBC 23 Aug 2011

Wednesday, August 31, 2011

Industrial commodities would get hit very badly if China went into a recession

Marc Faber : I actually live on airplanes but if I'm not traveling i'm in the north of Thailand but i used to live 30 years in Hong Kong and I have an office in Hong Kong . .... yes. some people will tell you that china will crash. it's possible. other people are very positive about china or complacent. nobody knows precisely. we have a number of problems in china. we also have a misallocation of resources. I'm in Brazil today. all i can tell you is that in emerging economies, whether it is Brazil Russia, middle east, India or china or Thailand or Indonesia, the individual household is not highly leveraged. mortgage debt as a percent of the economy is very low. you don't have the debt overhang we have in the western world. china can have a slowdown and that's why I would rather not own industrial commodities that would get hit very badly if China went into a recession. equally we can have a recession in china for two years and thereafter we'll recover - in CNBC

Tuesday, August 30, 2011

Stocks measured by price earning ratios may not be quite that cheap as all the strategists claim

Marc Faber : The concept of valuation is very difficult when you have zero interest rates I can make a case that actually the price of Gold is still undervalued compared to say the mid 1980s when it was trading around 400 dollars , so it is very difficult to say what is valued in this environment , is a Picasso a good value or is it overvalued I do not know, but stocks measured by price earning ratios and considering that probably the economy will b weakening and that corporate profit may disappoint , may not be quite that cheap as all the strategists claim- in FOX Business News

Monday, August 29, 2011

Marc Faber Investment Strategy

Marc Faber : coming back to your question about the asset allocation , I would hold 25 to 30 percent in Equities , 20 to 30 percent in physical Gold , I would own some bonds and cash and I would own say 25 to 30 percent in real estate which people could own by owning say Asian real estate companies including REITs - in CNBC 23 Aug 2011

It leads to a huge cash flow drain if you have many girl friends

Marc Faber : I do not know your personal conditions whether you are married whether you have children how many girl friends you have and so forth and so on , we do not know I mean these are very important factors because it leads to a huge cash flow drain if you have many girl friends - in CNBC - 23 Aug 2011

We never really came out of the Recession in many different sectors of the economy

Marc Faber : I think We never really came out of the Recession in many different sectors of the economy in some sectors we came out , and if you look at the world , the emerging world has continued to grow throughout the period 2008 up to today , there is a slowdown now occurring in emerging economies but the western world western Europe and the US there is hardly any growth and if you look back say 1999 to today the US as an economy macro-economically speaking is of course much worse off than in 1999 courtesy of the federal reserve I may add - in CNBC

Marc Faber: Do not store your gold in the United States

Marc Faber : “I prefer if investors hold physical gold in a safe deposit box, ideally outside the US, in various locations… Switzerland, Singapore, Hong Kong, Australia, Canada… I think it’s important in today’s very uncertain world to diversify, not only the various asset classes… but also the custody of your assets should be in different jurisdictions.” - in CNBC

Sunday, August 28, 2011

Everyone should hold some gold because it is a form of cash

Marc Faber : People should buy gold today because there is a huge run in precious metals recently and I think they need to consolidate and shake out the weak holders , everyone should hold some gold because it is a form of cash. Gold is the most honest form of Cash

My Favorite Investment remains Gold

Marc Faber : “So, you are probably better off in equities than in bonds. My favorite investment remains gold. As it happens, the gold price is coming down, and I hope it will drop $100 or $200. Not necessarily a prediction. I think we will go down in a correction because there has been too much enthusiasm recently.” - in Bloomberg

Marc Faber : I am the greatest bear on earth

Marc Faber : “I agree with you. I am the greatest bear on earth, but if you compare Treasury bond yields and equities, equities look reasonably attractive. I think we will have zero and below zero interest rates for the next 10 years. In other words, inflation adjusted to keep money in cash. Finally, the mood is so negative right now as a contrarian, you do not take a huge short position when people are as bearish as they are right now and when insider buying has picked up as much. I am as bearish as the greatest bear is. It is just that I do not believe stocks will implode.” - in Bloomberg

Uncertainty on a global level is affecting the markets

Marc Faber : “What I see extremely well is the stock market has traced out a major high between November of last year and June of this year and then fell sharply with very strong momentum and conviction very rapidly by close to 20%. I think that is a very important signal that we should not overlook. I think new highs are practically out of the question for the next six months to one year. We will likely move lower, but as I said, I do not think we will have a complete collapse.” - in Bloomberg

The S&P wont Surpass 2011 High of 1,370

Marc Faber : “We had rally from the low on the ninth of August at 1,101 on the S&P to almost 1,200. Then we came right down again. Basically we did not make new lows. And now I think we can rally again for a while.” “I think a lot of people will say the markets formed a double low and we have some technical indicators that are going to turn positive, so we could rally around 1,250, but as I said before, for me, we reached a high on May 2, 2011. 1,370 on the S&P–that we will not go through. My view is you have a lot of people with strategies that are very bullish. They have a yearend target of around 1,400-1,450 on the S&P. Then you have the super bear. I think both camps will be disappointed.” - in Bloomberg

Saturday, August 27, 2011

Marc Faber : David Rosenberg was right and I was wrong

Marc Faber : I would like to remind you that the 10-year has made a new low. David Rosenberg was right and I was wrong. The 30-Year has not made a new low. The low in December 2008 was 2.53%. Now we’re around 3.4%. Basically we have an artificial market. The Fed has said we guarantee next to zero interest rates for the next two years. Banks and financial institutions are pouring into the 10-year because of the low rates at the present time - in Bloomberg

Marc Faber on Gary Schilling bet against Copper

Marc Faber : I have known Gary Schilling since 1970 when we worked together. He has been a frequent bear about commodities and about copper. I happen to think copper is likely to come down, but I would not bet too heavily on it, because it takes a long time to bring on additional copper mines. Unless the Chinese economy collapses, the demand for copper will stay relatively high. If the Chinese economy collapses and Jim Chanos is right, then you want to be short not only copper, but short everything - in Bloomberg

Marc Faber on The insider trading

Marc Faber : The insider buying has picked up, but there is still a lot of insider selling. Compared to all the selling in the last six months the buying is relatively muted. The insiders in general are a group of people against whom I would not bet against necessarily. All I am saying is I am very bearish. I think we will have inflation. I think the Treasury market is a disaster waiting to happen. I think the economy will slow down. They’re going to print money and we will go to war at some stage somewhere. So, you are probably better off in equities than in bonds. My favorite investment remains gold. As it happens the gold price is coming down, and I hope it will drop $100 or $200. Not necessarily a prediction. I think we will go down in a correction because there has been too much enthusiasm recently - in Bloomberg

Friday, August 26, 2011

Marc Faber - You Should Have 20 - 30% in Physical Gold


Marc Faber on CNBC Tue 23 Aug : Marc Faber, Gloom, Boom, and Doom Report, who adds that everyone should hold some gold because it is a form of cash. : " I would expect a correction in Gold to occur Marc Faber :"I'm not certain that people should buy gold today because we have a huge run in precious metals recently and they need to consolidate or shake out the weak holder. I would expect the correction in gold to occur. I think that everybody should have some gold if they want to own some cash because gold is the most honest form of cash people can own" "well, it's (ETFs) a claim on physical gold. i prefer if investors hold physical gold in a safe deposit box ideally outside of the u.s. in various locations, Switzerland, Singapore, Hong Kong, Australia, Canada. " "I think it's important in today's very uncertain world to diversify not only the various asset classes, in other words equities, bonds, gold, real estate and also the custody of your assets should be in different jurisdiction , I don't trust anyone"

Equities look reasonably attractive compared to treasuries

Marc Faber : if you compare treasury bond yields and equities , Equities look reasonably attractive compared to treasuries , I think we will have zero and below zero interest rates for the next ten years in the real terms in other words inflation adjusted , to keep money in cash is a disaster for the next ten years , and finally the mood is so negative right now , as a contrarian you do not take a huge short position when people are as bearish as they are now , and when insider buying has peaked up as much , but believe me I am as bearish as the greatest bear is , it just that I do not believe that stocks will implode - in Bloomberg

Thursday, August 25, 2011

If the Chinese economy collapses then you want to be short everything

Marc Faber : copper is likely to come down but I would not bet too heavily on it because it takes a long time to bring on additional copper mines , and unless the Chinese economy collapses the demand for copper will stay relatively high , but if the Chinese economy collapses and Jim Chanos is right then you want to be short not only copper you want to be short everything ! - in Bloomberg

Marc Faber - S&P Wont Surpass 2011 High of about 1,370

Marc Faber : we had a rally from the low of the 9th of August at 1101 on the S&P to almost 1200 and then we came right down again and basically we did not make new lows and now I think that we can rally again for a while , ...what I mean is I think a lot of people will say the market formed a double low and we have some technical indicators that are going to turn positive and so we could rally around 1250 but as I said before for me we reached a high on the second of May 2011 1370 on the S&P that we will not go through , well no doubt nobody knows for sure , my view is you have a lot of people that are strategists that are very bullish they have a year end target of around 1400 , 1450 on the S&P then you have the super bear , that is may be both camps will be disappointed ....

Economist John Williams of Shadow Stats on Goldseek Radio - Aug. 24, 2011

John Williams of Shadow stats talks about the road to hyperinflation 2014 and the fake government numbers , the real figures on unemployment the GDP the Inflation the consumer price index and the overall US economy , John Williams who is an independent economist not funded by any government agency , his figures are different from the official figures that the US government shows publicly.....Economist of Shadow Government Statistics and shadowstats.com founder John Williams claims government employment and inflation numbers are inaccurate, and economy is shakier than indicated.There is no way we could possibly pay our debt either we raise the taxes or we do not either we cut social security or we do not , we are headed towards a Wiemar Republic type of hyperinflation and a banana republic kind of government ..John Williams of Shadowstats has repeatedly warned that our economy is not doing as well as some would have you believe. From unemployment to GDP to current and future liabilities, there are fundamental problems that will not be resolved anytime soon - in fact, they're likely to get worse.The end result according to Williams? A hyperinflationary depression...the whole system is collapsing

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Marc Faber on CNBC 23 Aug - I would expect a correction in Gold to occur

Marc Faber on CNBC Tue 23 Aug I would expect a correction in Gold to occur Marc Faber :"I'm not certain that people should buy gold today because we have a huge run in precious metals recently and they need to consolidate or shake out the weak holder. I would expect the correction in gold to occur. I think that everybody should have some gold if they want to own some cash because gold is the most honest form of cash people can own" "well, it's (ETFs) a claim on physical gold. i prefer if investors hold physical gold in a safe deposit box ideally outside of the u.s. in various locations, Switzerland, Singapore, Hong Kong, Australia, Canada. " "I think it's important in today's very uncertain world to diversify not only the various asset classes, in other words equities, bonds, gold, real estate and also the custody of your assets should be in different jurisdiction , I don't trust anyone"


To some extent we are in QE3 already

Marc Faber : I think what he (Ben Bernanke) will say is that they are monitoring the situation and that they will take "appropriate measures" when they are required and I just like to mention to some extent we are in midst o fQE3 already because by announcing that the FED will keep Zero interest rates until the middle of 2013 they basically encouraged financial institutions to borrow short term and to buy ten years treasuries - in Bloomberg 23 Aug 2011

 

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Marc Faber on The Market Outlook - Bloomberg 23 Aug 2011

Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom report, talks about global financial markets, commodities and investment strategy.

Marc Faber : " we had a rally from the low of the 9th of August at 1101 on the S&P , to almost 1200 and then we came right down again and basically we did not make new lows and now I think that we can rally again for a while " Marc Faber says " ...what I mean is I think a lot of people will think the market formed the double low and we have some technical indicators that are going to turn positive and so we could rally to around 1250 but as I said before for me we reach the high on the 2nd of May 2011, 1370 on the S&P that we will not go through "

Matt Taibbi : The SEC covering up Wall Street Crimes ?

Rolling Stone contributing editor Matt Taibbi has a new piece in Rolling Stone about the SEC the Securities and Exchange Commission covering up crimes on Wall Street and destroying the records of promising cases in the years leading up to the financial meltdown.The SEC has been shredding case documents all along so its no surprise there has been zero justice for the big time wall street criminals. isn't it strange that nothing happens to the Wall Street Crooks until they down grade the US Credit Ratings then all of a sudden the justice department goes after them. All there going to do is harass them. There is no way anyone will do jail time.the SEC is bought by the banks so of course they are going to get rid of all the evidence.,corrupt corporations infiltrate government agencies that are supposed to oversee them so they can hijack these agencies for their own corporate interest .Direct government involvement should always be minimal, or corrupt agencies like the SEC are the inevitable result, time and time again.America builds more prisons than schools but somehow we can’t open a branch on Wall Street.

Marc Faber on 21st Century China

Marc Faber : "I think this is a huge risk and it is a much larger risk for the global economy than it is for the US , because the US is no more a large commodity buyer China is , and If Chinese growth really slows down or if they have a crash as some analyst say they may have , then it obviously will impact the economies of countries like Australia the middle east Brazil Canada and so forth and of course also the property market of Vancouver Hong Kong Singapore Sydney and then it will back fire in the sense that these economies that produce commodities are falling commodity prices they'll buy less goods from China , so it could trigger a vicious circle on the downside and I would say there is a fairly good chance that this could happen,This would really be something that the world central bankers wouldn't be able to help with printing money , they may be able to print money but it wouldn't really help the real economy it may help the financial economy to support equity prices " "I do not think it will be a trade war , I believe and that's why I am ultra bearish about everything , that being ultra bearish about everything I think you better off in equities than in bond or in cash probably the best will be in precious metals , but basically I see that ten years ago a huge shift in the balance of the economic power begun from the western world notable from the US and western Europe to Asia and emerging economies , we have today in the goods market I am not talking about services because services are very difficult to measure but in the goods market the emerging economies are much much larger than western Europe and the US even combined , so this shift in the balance of economic power to emerging economies is accompanied by a shift in political and military power and that the west will not just set there and do nothing , I mean the Libyan expedition is the first shot , I think the western world want to control China by controlling the oil supplies from the middle east and then it will come to war and in war times the one thing you do not want to is in the US government debt bonds equities will do OK and precious metals and some commodities will do very well but I would prepare for the worst but when you think it is true in the worse scenario you do not want to be in Cash US Dollars and in the US Government bonds

Monday, August 22, 2011

Financial conditions are today worse than they were prior to the crisis in 2008

Marc Faber : Financial conditions are today worse than they were prior to the crisis in 2008, The fiscal deficits have exploded and the political system [in both the U.S. and Europe] has become completely dysfunctional. - in MarketWatch

Gold is destined to move higher

Marc Faber : Gold is likely to correct, possibly by $100 or $150, but I continue to recommend gradual accumulation. As long as the trio of Obama, [U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner] and Bernanke are in power, gold is destined to move higher. Long-term U.S. Treasuries are of no value. They will default by paying interest in a worthless currency. - in Baron's Blog

I am not buying anything right now

Marc Faber : I'm not buying anything right now. But if stocks dropped another 10% to 20%, I might add to the positions I mentioned in the Midyear Roundtable. - in Baron's Blog

I am not that negative about Equities

Marc Faber : “I’m not that negative about equities,” “If you’re bearish about the world, you’ll probably be better off in equities than in government bonds and cash.” - in ibtimes.com

Sunday, August 21, 2011

I dont believe a single word of what the Bureau of Labor Statistics is printing about inflation figures

Marc Faber : “Weak economies usually have higher inflation rates than stronger economies,” . “In weak economies you have loose fiscal policies and money printing. And the U.S. is the world champion in loose monetary policies. I don’t believe a single word of what the Bureau of Labor Statistics is printing about inflation figures. “Paper money has lost its value,” “Hyperinflation is the pattern to come.” - in ibtimes.com

U.S. government bonds are junk bonds

Marc Faber : “It’s a suicidal investment to own 10-year or 30-year U.S. Treasurys,” “U.S. government bonds are junk bonds,” “As long as they can print, they can pay the interest. But another way to default is to pay the interest and principal in depreciating currency. “For that reason I would advocate a wide basket of diversification out of dollar-based assets,” “The dollar may rally somewhat, but clearly in the long run the dollar and other paper currencies — the euro is not much better — will have a depreciating tendency vis-a-vis honest money: gold and silver.” - in MarketWatch

Physical Gold in a safe deposit box is the safest

Marc Faber : “The function of paper money is to facilitate the exchange of goods and services, to be a store of value and a unit of account — the U.S. dollar fails on all three,” “Intelligent people, instead of holding cash in U.S. dollars with zero interest rates, why not hold money in gold and silver?” And as a currency, gold should be held in its physical form and not in shares of gold miners or even exchange-traded funds. That would rule out popular vehicles such as SPDR Gold Trust or iShares Gold Trust Be sure to store your gold in banks in Switzerland, London, Singapore, Hong Kong, Australia — just not in the U.S., Faber said. “Physical gold in a safe deposit box is the safest,” . “Forget about huge capital gains. I would look at capital preservation. I want to preserve my capital. Faber added - in MarketWatch

Saturday, August 20, 2011

The Swiss Franc is not as good as Gold

Marc Faber : I do not think that the Swiss Franc is as good as Gold because it is also essentially managed by a central Bank and nothing that is managed by a central bank is a hundred percent reliable , but the Swiss franc will remain a better currency than the US Dollar , having said that we also went down on the Swiss franc against the US Dollar by ten percent whithin just a few days ... - in Bloomberg 19 Aug 2011

Marc Faber latest Bloomberg interview - 19 Aug 2011

Dr. Marc Faber interviewed by Bloomberg TV on 19th August 2011 - Marc Faber : " well actually it may not ( The treasurys bubble) burst for a while because obviously the FED will keep short term rates at close to zero for extended period of time and likely there will be some wither official or unofficial type of QE3 and QE4 , but in my view an investor who today buys a ten year treasury with this kind of yield it is today at 2.08 percent is not going to make any money in the next ten years either because yields will go much higher or because the dollar will go much lower "

Marc Faber Top 5 Suggestions For Investors

Dr. Marc Faber spoke to to Jonathan Burton, of MarketWatch.com and he gave him 5 top suggestions for a safe investment . Dr Marc Faber is not happy at all of what he sees in the world economy with the exception of Asia where he is looking at dividend producing stocks ,he does not like the way the government around the globe are printing money as if there is no tomorrow , but he is actually more optimistic about stocks in relation with treasuries cash and other paper assets ( Cash is trash ) and he is obviously quite bullish on Gold but not ETF just physical Gold , he sees gold as an alternative currency developing instead of the US dollar :
1.) Avoid Treasuries.
2.) Cash is trash. 
3.) Stocks offer some safety.
4.) Emerging markets will expand.
5.) Gold is worth its weight.
Read More @ Barron‘s Blog >>>>>



Friday, August 19, 2011

It is a suicidal investment to own 10-year or 30-year U.S. Treasurys

Marc Faber : “It’s a suicidal investment to own 10-year or 30-year U.S. Treasurys,” “U.S. government bonds are junk bonds.” - in Beacon Equity Research

The Federal Reserve is a very evil institution

Marc Faber : “The Federal Reserve is a very evil institution,” “in the sense that they punish decent people who have saved all their lives. These are people who don’t understand about stocks and investments, and suddenly they are forced to speculate.” - in MarketWatch

Dr. Marc Faber Tomorrow's Gold







Dr Marc Faber was born in Zurich, Switzerland. He went to school in Geneva and Zurich and finished high school with the Matura. He studied Economics at the University of Zurich and, at the age of 24, obtained a PhD in Economics magna cum laude. Between 1970 and 1978, Dr Faber worked for White Weld & Company Limited in New York, Zurich and Hong Kong. Since 1973, he has lived in Hong Kong. From 1978 to February 1990, he was the Managing Director of Drexel Burnham Lambert (HK) Ltd. In June 1990, he set up his own business, which acts as an investment advisor and fund manager.