Tuesday, November 15, 2011

FEDs interest rates are Negative in Real Terms

Marc Faber : I have a view , my view is nobody knows , because markets now are very volatile partly because interest rates are now at zero percent and in real terms negative which essentially stimulate speculation and in addition we have high frequency trading that leads to very wide swings in the market because the high frequency traders are basically based on models that are momentum like models in other words the market goes up everybody goes long the market goes down everybody goes short and what we had is a peak as I mentioned on May 2nd at 1370 on the S&P and then we went down sharply in late July August and bottomed out on October the 4th at 1074 on the S&P when everybody turned negative and after we had this very sharp rally almost 20 percent and I think this rally may carry on somewhat and that the super bear that think the S&P drops to 400 for the time being it will have to go to hibernation - in Bloomberg

The Equity Market may Rally Another 5 percent or so

Marc Faber : well I think it is going to be very difficult for the market to make a new high above in the case of the S&P May 2 the S&P at 1370 I think there is a lot of supply between this level here between 1260 to around 1350 , so I doubt we will see new highs but it does not mean that the market cannot rally another 5 percent or so

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