Marc Faber : for the time being and near term , political decisions affect market movements but in the long run it's market forces that will prevail and overrun everything , so if you have money printing , yes you can create additional bubbles like we created the NASDAQ bubble and then the housing bubble and so forth but in the long run the market forces will teach central banks a real lesson that's I assure you , either you have rising asset prices like equities you have some inflation in the system what could also happen is after this asset inflation we have over the twenty or thirty years which was very considerable if you look at the price of paintings at the prices of commodities collectibles and so forth prices essentially of any kind of asset have gone up irregularly but still up very substantially and so at some stage I think the deflation will be right we will have a massive deflation , but the question is does it come right now or from an elevated level that we don't know , we just don't know .....
Saturday, July 28, 2012
Marc Faber The Money & Wealth Show Interview - 27 July 2012
Friday, July 27, 2012
The Middle East will go up in flames - Oil Price will go Higher
MARC FABER Prefers Diversification as a Trading Strategy
MARC FABER : Talk of a GOLD Bubble is nonsense
Thursday, July 26, 2012
US Treasury Bonds : The risk out weights the return potential
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Wednesday, July 25, 2012
MARC FABER : China Slowdown could Lead to Social Unrest
MARC FABER : well let me point out at the difference between China and the US , the US had credit bubble built on consumption in other words the debt level on the household sector level the government level went up dramatically to finance consumption in the case of China at least it financed investments in infrastructures research and development and so forth that is a key difference , now if you have a capital spending bubble like in china the downturn can be very severe because you're running to over capacities and then when you print money you produce even more over capacities and the fact is simply that if you look at reliable statistics say which country is the largest export market for Taiwan and South Korea ? it's China and if you look at exports from Korea and Taiwan they're all flat year on year so that is quite reliable , you look at electricity production in China it's up one percent year on year and so forth and so on , so the statistics would actually suggest that Chinese economy is much weaker than what the official statistics suggest , it does not mean that all Chinese growth model will collapse entirely , but I'd like to mention one thing , in China we still have One Party System and we have an incredible level of corruption and that could lead to social unrest at some point , by the way we can have social unrest anywhere in the world given the high unemployment that we are facing in most countries , but that could derail growth in China for a while and then we have geopolitical problems coming up , the south china sea and so forth and so on so there are many things that could go wrong
MARC FABER : Europe is in Recession
Tuesday, July 24, 2012
Marc Faber Invested in Lower Quality Bonds
Monday, July 23, 2012
Marc Faber : A Currency Union in Asia is out of the question
Sunday, July 22, 2012
Marc Faber : Stocks are Cheap in Europe
Marc Faber: The Markets are very Volatile, and it takes a lot of courage to be Short
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Saturday, July 21, 2012
Marc Faber : The Chinese Economy Growing by maximum 3% not The Official 7.8%
Marc Faber : Negative US GROWTH without The Government Throwing Money
The way that GDP is calculated is that you put in some figures about sales and production and then you deduct the inflation rate which they calculate. But if you took unofficial costs of living increases, then I would guess that there is no growth because rents nationwide, for residential rates, the rates have gone up by 9%. Insurance premiums are going up and healthcare rates are going up and if you look at employment it is a disaster.
In the meantime, the government is essentially throwing $1.3 billion at the economy annually through the budget deficit and through the household deficit. Without these payments by the government, I think there would actually be actually negative economic growth. - in Citywire
Friday, July 20, 2012
MARC FABER ON CURRENT AND FUTURE ASSET BUBBLES
Thursday, July 19, 2012
Marc Faber : ZERO to Negative GDP Growth in the US in 2012
Marc Faber : China Slowdown to have a huge impact on Commodity Prices
When the Chinese economy slumps, then obviously the demand for commodities goes down and these countries have less money and so they buy less and so it has a very strong multiplier effect on the global economy.
Whether the US contracts or grows at 2% has no impact on commodity demand or the service industry. If China grows at 12% or only at 3%, that will have a huge impact on commodity prices.
I think that the slowdown in the Chinese economy – and believe me, the Chinese economy did not grow in the second quarter by 7.8% - in my view, maximum 3% - and we have very precise statistics.
The two countries where the exports were predominantly China-geared – Taiwan and South Korea and where the statistics are more reliable than what the Chinese announced in GDP growth, these countries have negative export growth on a year-on-year bases in the last month in June. If these countries have declining exports, it tells you something about the Chinese economy.
We have other reliable statistics like gaming revenues in Macau and so forth. The overall revenues are still up but the junkit turnover is down. These are middle men who bring the gamblers to Macau. Their growth rate has slowed down, luxury consumption has slowed down and electricity consumption is basically flat. Steel and cement production is up maximum 2-4% year-on year and so we have some reliable statistics.
Macdonalds just reported that their sales in Asia year-on-year is down more than 1%. Believe me if in a growth region, where markets are not yet saturated and where shops like MacDonalds are like prestige things for families to go and where their sales are down believe me – something is not quite right. I can see it with my own eyes. I don’t think that in Asia at the present time there is any economic growth. - in Citywire
Wednesday, July 18, 2012
Marc Faber Warns The Slowdown in China is Larger than Reported
Marc Faber : well, I think first of all investors must realize that the impact of a slowdown in the Chinese economy, which in my view is much larger than what the government has been reporting, the government says GDP has been growing at 7.8%, in my view it's much lower because we have very reliable statistics. say, export figures from Taiwan. export figures from south Korea. where the largest export destination is china. they're down year on year. electricity consumption in china is hardly growing. and so i think the economy in china is rather weak. but of course the markets have rallied because they think that because of weak economic growth in china they will stimulate, they will print money like in the united states and Europe and so forth and so on and that it will boost prices for a while.
Marc Faber : Massive Wealth destruction coming
“Somewhere down the line we will have a massive wealth destruction. That usually happens either through very high inflation or through social unrest or through war or credit-market collapse.”
Tuesday, July 17, 2012
Marc Faber Portfolio 30% in Cash
Marc Faber : European Equities are now Cheap and a good Investment
Monday, July 16, 2012
Marc Faber Buying European Stocks For the first time in his life
‘These markets, compared to the rest of the world are very cheap and some stocks are perfectly fine companies but because these markets were very weak and because there is a threat of a euro break-up, everything has come down to very low valuations.’ Marc Faber told Citywire Global on Monday from his home in Thailand - in Citywire Global
Marc Faber : Beware China but Not Commodities
Sunday, July 15, 2012
Difficult to be Bullish about the US Dollar or anything in the US Economy
Saturday, July 14, 2012
Marc Faber : The World is heading toward a Major Crisis
It is safest to buy U.S. Treasuries because the U.S. can print money. It will pay the interest. But you are earning only 1.6%, and the cost of living is increasing by about 5% a year around the world. You are getting a negative real return. - in Baron's round table June 2012
Friday, July 13, 2012
Marc Faber : The Economic Situation in the US worse than 10 years ago
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Thursday, July 12, 2012
MARC FABER : US Bonds like The NASDAQ In 1999 - The Biggest Bubble Ever
Marc Faber : Huge Fiscal Deficit in the USA overtime
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Wednesday, July 11, 2012
Marc Faber : a quick fix that does not solve the long-term fundamental problem of over investment in the euro zone
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Tuesday, July 10, 2012
Marc Faber: The European Banks Are Sick
Monday, July 9, 2012
Marc Faber : We have a Spiral on the Downside
Sunday, July 8, 2012
Marc Faber Bullish on Equities in Portugal Italy Spain and France
Marc Faber : ...In my view the markets are rallying because they were grossly oversold and when markets are grossly oversold especially markets of Portugal , Spain Italy France then any news that it is not a disaster news propels stocks higher " says Marc Faber adding that what Europe did is just a cosmetic fix that does not solve the long term problems of over indebtedness in the Eurozone , " ...in Portugal Spain Italy and France the markets are either at the lowest of March 2009 or lower and along with that companies and the banks also reasonably good companies have been dragged down and so I see value in equities regardless if the Eurozone stays or is abandoned
Saturday, July 7, 2012
Marc Faber: Investing opportunities in Italy, Portugal & Spain
Question : Yesterday (05 July) The ECB cut its base rate to a historic low and the conditions for release of collateral to banks. This will help Europe?
Marc Faber : I do not think so. I think whatever now the government will undertake may postpone the problems but it does not solve them , and the problem is too much debt. I mean I would say how long would the Germans essentially be willing to finance the excess consumption in Spain, Italy, Greece and Portugal and so forth . And I would like to add that although the situation is not ideal in these countries and these countries are close to the lows in 2007-2008 and may even fall even lower, there are decent companies in Spain Italy and Portugal that are now relatively cheap and in which Today, in my opinion is worth investing. I see real value there.
Friday, July 6, 2012
Marc Faber : Markets Oversold Especially in Europe
Marc Faber : To start with, I think markets were oversold especially in Europe. When there was moderate good news, there was a lot of European short covering and a lot of stock rebounded by 5-7% in just one day. - in CNBC TV 18 interview
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Thursday, July 5, 2012
Marc Faber : We are still in a High Risk Environment
Marc Faber : This is too early to tell. Basically, we made a low in early June and at 1261 on the S&P and then we rallied and we came down again, but we didn’t test a new low. We may rebounce to around 1400 on the S&P. Don’t forget July is a month of seasonal strength and that we are coming into the election, there maybe some more money printing and fiddling with statistic sense of ours. So the market may actually rally a bit more. But it doesn’t change the global picture, which is essentially for a global economic slowdown, for an increasing number of companies that are reporting disappointing sales for forecast, for earnings.
When there is a minor disappointment that’s what the case on Friday in the case of Nike, the stock then drops very significantly and erases essentially all the gains of the last three or six months. So we are still in a high risk environment. Eventually, I think that in the next 12 months, you will be able to buy most markets at a lower level than today. The only stocks I bought in the last 10 days are from the fresh issues in Portugal, Spain, Italy and France. - in CNBC TV 18 interview
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Wednesday, July 4, 2012
Marc Faber : Not a particularly Happy Time for Investors Recently
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Tuesday, July 3, 2012
Marc Faber : The Euro Not a very desirable Currency
Among the context of who is the least ugly currency I would say probably the US dollar for the time being, but that doesn’t change the fact that the US dollar was overbought recently and sentiment surrounding both European stocks and the euro was extremely negative. So I think a rebound in the euro may continue very well and then will have renewed weakness in my view. - in CNBC TV 18 interview
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Monday, July 2, 2012
Marc Faber Video Interview - CNBC TV18 - 02 July 2012
Marc Faber : Global markets to plunge further in 12 months
When there is a minor disappointment that’s what the case on Friday in the case of Nike, the stock then drops very significantly and erases essentially all the gains of the last three or six months. So we are still in a high risk environment. Eventually, I think that in the next 12 months, you will be able to buy most markets at a lower level than today. The only stocks I bought in the last 10 days are from the fresh issues in Portugal, Spain, Italy and France. - in CNBC TV18 02 July 2012
Sunday, July 1, 2012
Marc Faber Investment Picks for 2012
I am also warming to gold shares. Gold corrected to $1,522 last December from $1,921 in September. It rebounded to $1,795 in February and is back down around $1,600. The correction could last longer, but given that governments will print more money, gold is relatively effective as a currency. My preference is physical gold, but I would also own some gold shares, which have been decimated. Goldcorp [GG] is attractive because most of its properties are in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. The company isn't exposed to regimes that are talking about nationalizing resources. In general, stock markets are oversold. The U.S. government-bond market is overbought. The U.S. dollar is overbought, and gold is oversold near term. - in Barron's roundtable June 2012
Saturday, June 30, 2012
Marc Faber : The breaking point could be three, four, five years away
It is safest to buy U.S. Treasuries because the U.S. can print money. It will pay the interest. But you are earning only 1.6%, and the cost of living is increasing by about 5% a year around the world. You are getting a negative real return. - in Barron's roundtable June 2012
Friday, June 29, 2012
Outlook for The Stock Market For the Rest of 2012
Dr. Marc Faber Tomorrow's Gold
Dr Marc Faber was born in Zurich, Switzerland. He went to school in Geneva and Zurich and finished high school with the Matura. He studied Economics at the University of Zurich and, at the age of 24, obtained a PhD in Economics magna cum laude. Between 1970 and 1978, Dr Faber worked for White Weld & Company Limited in New York, Zurich and Hong Kong. Since 1973, he has lived in Hong Kong. From 1978 to February 1990, he was the Managing Director of Drexel Burnham Lambert (HK) Ltd. In June 1990, he set up his own business, which acts as an investment advisor and fund manager.
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