Monday, May 4, 2009

Gloom, Boom and Doom Report , Dr Doom or Dr Copper !



Copper is generally a leading indicator of economic growth because of its use in new construction (housing and commercial property).

Dr. Faber might be in agreement with Dr. Copper (as copper is sometimes called for its ability to 'diagnose' the economic conditions). Dr. Marc Faber's latest letter landed in the mailbox yesterday. There were some real gems in this month's Gloom, Boom, and Doom Report. One was this quote from Charles Kettering, "Success is getting what you want, happiness is wanting what you get."

Dr. Faber also has quite a bit to say about whether the large rallies in global stock markets since March (and earlier in some cases) constitute a recovery in the economy or just a "bear market rally." He says that, "At least in nominal terms, the global printing presses being run by the world's central banks and fiscal deficits have begun to impact asset prices positively."

This is a concession that the big quantitative easing efforts of the Fed have found their way into bond prices and certain other sectors. Also, by trashing cash the Fed has made stocks look relatively more attractive. Dr. Faber also thinks that, "In the case of resource and mining stocks, as well as Asian equities (and, for that matter, most emerging and other stock markets around the globe), the lows that were reached between October and March of this year are likely to hold-that is, for now."

And what about Australia specifically? He did not single the country out. But he did say that, "The markets that have the highest probability of having made major longer-term lows are resource-related equities, emerging markets, and Japan."

"Conversely," he writes, "the asset market that has the highest probability of having a made a secular high (such as Japan in 1989, or the NASDAQ in March 2000) is the U.S. long-term government bond market. Despite a still-weakening economy and massive quantitative easing, long-term bond yields appear to be on the verge of breaking out on the upside."

Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world. Dr. Doom also trades currencies and commodity futures like Gold and Oil.
Source News

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