Thursday, August 26, 2010

Marc Faber on Crisis and Bubbles



Marc Faber : The most common point about every crisis is that in that period there was excessive debt growth, excessive credit growth, excessive leverage and excessive speculations that came about because of the excess credit growth. But the Federal Reserve does not seem to understand that. That is the most common.

The other point I would like to mention is that during such crisis, governments should actually do nothing and let the market adjust from the downside. This is because as prices decline and drop, the affordability improves again and at some point buyers come in and as a result the system is cleaned.

However, if governments intervene with fiscal and monetary measures as the US has done, it sows the seeds for the next crisis. The crises in the post 1980s period such as Tequila, 1994, LTCM, 1998, Nasdaq bubble 2000 are all indicators of this trend. The measures led to formation of a bubble which then caused bubbles in other sectors of the economy. Therefore in my view the interventions which always happen nowadays in the Western democracies are actually not desirable.
source smartinvestor.in

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