Sunday, September 19, 2010

Marc Faber: Stock markets in a trading range

Marc Faber :"I think that there are people who have extreme views either extremely bullish or extremely bearish. I think we maybe in a kind of a trading range whereby first we go down somewhat into October-November and then rally again towards the end of the year.
I think the difficulty is what to do with money when interest rates are essentially at zero on US dollar then obviously people look at their portfolios and they see stocks that have dividend yields. In Singapore, Thailand, Malaysia, you can have stocks yielding 5% on the dividend. So, the money flows essentially into these stocks."

"We have touched 1,010 at the low point and we trade it several times around 1,040. Though there is some support there, but I wouldn’t bet that it’s not going to be broken on the downside. The fact is simply the economy is not doing well and it is very likely that they will have more monetary easing and further stimulus packages. I am not sure that the stock market will take that well, maybe the stock market won’t be very happy about additional stimulus, more interventions into the free market. Though anything could happen, but let’s put it this way that I do not think that we will go and breakdown below the March 2009 level. I think that may have seen a major low and that we will be in a kind of a trading range around this level we are at here. "

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