Monday, May 2, 2011

Marc Faber outlook for The U.S. equities market

Dr. Marc Faber in an interview with Radio host McAlavany last February when  he was asked about his outlook for the U.S. equities market : ."...We didn’t have a decent run, we had a fantastic run. The S&P has doubled, and in emerging markets we have price increases that are far better than a doubling of the indices. In general, emerging economy stock markets since 2003 have way out performed the S&P. So we had unbelievable moves in markets. In the U.S. we only had on two previous occasions a move such as we had in the last 27 months from 666 on the S&P to over 1300, and that was in 1934, coming off a major low when the market had declined by 90% between 1929 and 1932, and then another move into between 1934 and 1937,and that was then followed by renewed extreme weakness in the markets.So stocks have done fantastically well, and I was fortunate to be relatively positive about equities between October 2008 and March 2009.But if someone had asked me, “Do you think the S&P will double?” I would not have expected a doubling.I would have thought the market would rebound, maybe by 40-50%, but not a doubling.The markets in the world, between March 2009 and today, have done actually much better than anybody had expected. Starting in November 2010, the American market started to weaken, and I think that we have just begun a more significant correction in the U.S., whereby I expect the fact that international investors over-weighted the American economic stock market until recently, and under-weighted the U.S., and now money is flowing back into the U.S. I think emerging stock markets will go down further, but I would probably just stay out of the U.S...."

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