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Tuesday, October 18, 2011
The next shoe to drop, which could be China
MARK FABER : Well, I think we have to distinguish between different commodities. We have agricultural commodities, and I think the long term outlook for agriculture in the world is probably rather favorable. I would rather play it by owning farms than by speculating in wheat futures and corn futures because the average investor will find it very difficult to trade these markets.
And then we have industrial commodities, and this is an important signal for the market. They collapsed. They did not collapse because of Greece. They are down 30 percent because it is very likely that the Chinese economy is now decelerating very rapidly.
And that on the world would have a far greater impact than say Greece. And so I think investors who all focus on the banking crisis in Europe, they overlook the next shoe to drop, which could be China. in Bloomberg Surveillance
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