TD: Marc, what are your thoughts on the regional Asian conflicts going forward and how might that impact natural resources?
Marc Faber : Actually, my view
is this; we wouldn’t have a conflict in Asia if there was no
intervention by the U.S. The U.S. has a security pact with Japan and has
military bases and naval basis all over Asia.
The Chinese economy is highly vulnerable
to interruptions in the supply of metals and of oil, because 47% of
global metals consumption is nowadays from China[i].
It’s up from 4% in 1990 and 10% in year 2000. So they have become a
huge factor. For their industrial production, they need resources; they
need iron ore from Australia, copper from Australia and elsewhere, and
oil from the Middle East. That’s their only source of oil, the Middle
East, compared to say the U.S. that can source oil from Canada, from
Mexico and who have a rising domestic production.
So the Chinese are very concerned about
interruptions of supplies and I think that over time, the Chinese will
want to control the East and South China Sea. I do not think that they
have any aggression plans, but the U.S. wouldn’t be particularly happy
if the Chinese or the Russians had military bases in the Caribbean, in
Mexico, in Canada and so forth. The Chinese cannot accept to be
encircled by military bases by the U.S. in Central Asia, South East
Asia, and North Asia. I think the tensions will actually increase over
time. - in bullmarketthinking Click here to watch the full interview
Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.Dr. Doom also trades currencies and commodity futures like Gold and Oil.
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