REGAN: Yeah, and if you're China, you've
got some muscle there to count what you want. But at the end of the day,
investors, they have a tendency to see through these things. Marc
Faber, do you believe investors are seeing through this? Have they
discounted China enough in your view?
MARC FABER :
Look, the fact is simply that Chinese stocks have been just about the
worst performing stocks since 2006. Now analysts will dismiss that and
say everything is prefect in China, but the stock market does not seem
to believe everything that the government is saying about the economy.
And clearly there are strength signs in the Chinese economy. In
particular, as I said, we have this huge explosion of debt. Debt as a
percent of GDP has increased in the last five years by more than 50
percent. Total debt is now over 215 percent of GDP, and a lot of it is
trade finance that is being rolled over.
In
addition to that, there are lots of funny deals. A friend of mine who
analyzes China very carefully, Simon Hunt (ph), he pointed out that
trade finance between one state-owned enterprise and a private company
has amounted to over $5 trillion by continuing to roll over the same
collateral several times. There's lots of funny things that are
happening in China. And when the whole thing unwinds it will be a
disaster. - in Business Insider
Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.Dr. Doom also trades currencies and commodity futures like Gold and Oil.
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