That brings me to the next question. We at Global
Gold think in scenarios. We don’t believe in models, but rather use our
common sense and history as our guide to try to understand ongoing
developments and where they will take us. One of our scenarios for the
mid-term, meaning in the next 5 years, stands for crisis (collapse of
the monetary system or wars), which we weight with 20%. Do you think we
are overly optimistic or pessimistic?
Marc Faber : Well, my view is that the current monetary
arrangements are not sustainable in the long run. We have sensitive,
overly indebted Western economies in the US and Europe. It is not
visible yet, because the unfunded liabilities are probably not accounted
for. A company under GAAP would have to account for them, but
governments don’t have to. What this means is that the benefits of
people will eventually have to be cut either through inflation and
adjustments that are below the true cost of living increases or through
reduced payments to the individuals. With benefits going down or through
outright expropriation over the last two or three years, more and more
voices have come up talking about wealth inequality. I previously
discussed the problem of wealth inequality brought about by expansionary
monetary policies where the main beneficiaries become the asset
holders. Wealth inequality should be largely addressed through monetary
policies in the sense that you should have an interest rate structure
that does not favor the kind of asset inflation we have. - in http://goldsilverworlds.comMarc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.Dr. Doom also trades currencies and commodity futures like Gold and Oil.
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